Landskrona BoIS
vs
Varbergs BoIS FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Landskrona BoIS
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.31.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Landskrona BoIS is the favourite, not a value bet.
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC
| Probability | Landskrona BoIS | Draw | Varbergs BoIS FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.7% | 25.2% | 27.1% |
| Market | 46.1% | 25.6% | 28.3% |
| Final | 46.5% | 25.5% | 28.0% |
| Edge | +0.4% | -0.1% | -0.3% |
Why Landskrona BoIS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.4% per unit staked (our 46.5% × 2.10 − 1).
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC match preview
Landskrona BoIS faces Varbergs BoIS FC in a Superettan matchup with kickoff scheduled for October 27, 2026. According to our model, Landskrona BoIS has a 47% probability of winning, while Varbergs BoIS FC stands at 27%, and a draw is estimated at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Landskrona, with an expected goals tally of 1.79 for Landskrona and 1.32 for Varbergs.
In terms of recent form, Landskrona BoIS has recorded two wins in their last three matches, while Varbergs BoIS FC has seen mixed results with two wins and two draws in their last five games. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 60%, and both teams scoring is projected at 62%. In their last three encounters, Landskrona BoIS has won twice, while Varbergs BoIS FC has one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Landskrona BoIS and Varbergs BoIS FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Landskrona BoIS and Varbergs BoIS FC attack and defence ratings
Landskrona BoIS
Varbergs BoIS FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Landskrona BoIS | 46.5% | 2.15 | +0.4% | 2.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Landskrona BoIS | 46.5% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 28.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% |
| No | 38.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Landskrona BoIS win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 52.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.2% |
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC stats
Landskrona BoIS and Varbergs BoIS FC recent form
| Landskrona BoIS |
LWWWLW |
| Varbergs BoIS FC |
DDWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Landskrona BoIS and Varbergs BoIS FC season so far
Landskrona BoIS record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Varbergs BoIS FC record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Varbergs BoIS FC | Landskrona BoIS | Superettan | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-06 | Landskrona BoIS | Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-22 | Varbergs BoIS FC | Landskrona BoIS | Superettan | 4-2 |
| 2024-08-26 | Landskrona BoIS | Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan | 1-4 |
| 2024-07-22 | Varbergs BoIS FC | Landskrona BoIS | Superettan | 1-1 |
| 2022-03-22 | Landskrona BoIS | Varbergs BoIS FC | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2018-09-18 | Landskrona BoIS | Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan | 0-2 |
| 2018-05-06 | Varbergs BoIS FC | Landskrona BoIS | Superettan | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.9%, draw 25.8%, away 28.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.32 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.05 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.98 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.91 | 3.28 |
| SBO | 2.01 | 3.14 | 3.01 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .