Superettan Β· Β·Matchday 29

Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK

Garuda Lions Prediction: Landskrona BoIS

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.33.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Landskrona BoIS is the favourite, not a value bet.

Landskrona Idrottsplats, Landskrona

Landskrona BoIS 51%
Draw 24%
Orebro SK 25%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Landskrona BoIS wins
51%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
65%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLandskrona BoISDrawOrebro SK
Model52.8%23.2%23.9%
Market50.7%24.2%25.1%
Final51.2%23.9%24.8%
Edge+0.5%-0.2%-0.3%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why Landskrona BoIS

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.33.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.87, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.2% per unit staked (our 51.2% Γ— 1.87 βˆ’ 1).

Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK match preview

Landskrona BoIS faces Orebro SK in an upcoming Superettan match with a predicted win probability of 55% for Landskrona, while both teams share a 23% chance of a draw or an Orebro victory. The most likely scoreline is forecasted to be 2-1, with a 9% probability. The expected goals for Landskrona BoIS stand at 2.13, compared to Orebro SK's 1.34, suggesting a potentially high-scoring encounter.

Recent form indicates that Landskrona BoIS has recorded two wins in their last three matches, while Orebro SK has shown mixed results with two draws and a win in their last three outings. The model also suggests a 67% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance for both teams to score, indicating an expectation for an engaging match.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Landskrona BoI ↓ / Orebro SK β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 6% 2 7% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Landskrona BoIS and Orebro SK expected goals

Landskrona BoIS 2.04
Orebro SK 1.33

Total expected goals: 3.37

Landskrona BoIS and Orebro SK attack and defence ratings

Landskrona BoIS

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Orebro SK

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Landskrona BoIS 51.2% 1.95 +0.5% 1.87
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.5% 1.53 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 65.0% 1.54 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.1% 1.31 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 47.2% 2.12 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Landskrona BoIS51.2%
Draw23.9%
Orebro SK24.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.5%
Under 2.534.5%
Both teams to scoreYes65.0%
No35.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.2%
12 (either side)76.1%
X2 (draw or away)48.8%
Handicap -1Landskrona BoIS win31.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss47.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
2-19.5%
2-07.1%

Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK stats

Landskrona BoIS and Orebro SK recent form

newest first
Landskrona BoIS DLWWWL
Orebro SK WDDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Landskrona BoIS and Orebro SK season so far

league record

Landskrona BoIS record

  • They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Orebro SK record

  • They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.

Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Landskrona BoIS wins 0Draws 1Orebro SK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-06Orebro SKLandskrona BoISSuperettan1-0
2025-10-26Orebro SKLandskrona BoISSuperettan1-2
2025-06-22Landskrona BoISOrebro SKSuperettan1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 24.2%, away 25.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.81 3.80 3.79
Bet365 1.75 3.75 3.60
Betano 1.87 3.70 3.65
Betfair 1.87 3.80 3.60
Dafabet 1.84 3.80 3.65
Marathonbet 1.79 3.80 3.78
Pinnacle 1.78 4.02 3.90
SBO 1.82 3.32 3.34
William Hill 1.80 3.60 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.81 β–Ό -0.14
X 3.80 β–² +0.16
2 3.65 β–² +0.35

6 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Landskrona BoIS Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now