Norrby IF
vs
IFK Varnamo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Norrby IF
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo
| Probability | Norrby IF | Draw | IFK Varnamo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.1% | 31.5% | 33.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.1% | 31.5% | 33.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo match preview
Norrby IF faces IFK Varnamo in a Superettan matchup on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Norrby IF has a 35% chance of winning, while IFK Varnamo stands at 33%, with a 31% probability of a draw. The expected goals for Norrby IF are 1.14, slightly ahead of IFK Varnamo's 1.10, indicating a closely contested game. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Norrby IF, with a probability of 11%.
In terms of recent form, Norrby IF has struggled, recording one win in their last six matches, while IFK Varnamo has shown more resilience with four wins in their last six games. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39%, and both teams to score holds a probability of 47%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Norrby IF and IFK Varnamo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Norrby IF and IFK Varnamo attack and defence ratings
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norrby IF | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norrby IF | 35.1% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| IFK Varnamo | 33.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Norrby IF win | 14.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 64.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.0% | |
| 1-0 | 10.8% |
Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo stats
Norrby IF and IFK Varnamo recent form
| Norrby IF |
LWDLLL |
| IFK Varnamo |
LWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Norrby IF and IFK Varnamo season so far
Norrby IF record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IFK Varnamo record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | IFK Varnamo | Norrby IF | Superettan | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.