United Nordic
vs
GIF Sundsvall
Garuda Lions Prediction: United Nordic
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 0.87.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall overview
Garuda Lions analysis: United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall
| Probability | United Nordic | Draw | GIF Sundsvall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.8% | 19.0% | 11.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 69.8% | 19.0% | 11.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why United Nordic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 0.87.
United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall match preview
In the upcoming Superettan clash, United Nordic faces GIF Sundsvall, with our model assigning a 70% probability of a home victory for United Nordic, compared to just 11% for GIF Sundsvall. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0 in favor of United Nordic, which aligns with an expected goals tally of 2.36 for United Nordic and 0.87 for GIF Sundsvall.
Both teams have struggled recently, with United Nordic recording a form of L-W-L-L-D-L and GIF Sundsvall at L-L-L-W-L-L. Despite this, United Nordic has a favorable historical edge, having previously faced GIF Sundsvall once, resulting in a win for the visitors. The model indicates a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
United Nordic and GIF Sundsvall expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
United Nordic and GIF Sundsvall attack and defence ratings
United Nordic
GIF Sundsvall
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | United Nordic | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | United Nordic win | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | United Nordic | 69.8% |
| Draw | 19.0% | |
| GIF Sundsvall | 11.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% |
| No | 46.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | United Nordic win | 47.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 30.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-1 | 9.0% |
United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall stats
United Nordic and GIF Sundsvall recent form
| United Nordic |
LWLLDL |
| GIF Sundsvall |
LLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
United Nordic and GIF Sundsvall season so far
United Nordic record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GIF Sundsvall record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | GIF Sundsvall | United Nordic | Superettan | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.