Osters IF
vs
Helsingborg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Osters IF
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.09.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Osters IF vs Helsingborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Osters IF vs Helsingborg
| Probability | Osters IF | Draw | Helsingborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.5% | 24.2% | 20.3% |
| Market | 39.9% | 25.9% | 34.2% |
| Final | 43.8% | 25.5% | 30.7% |
| Edge | +3.9% | -0.4% | -3.5% |
Why Osters IF
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Osters IF below our published probability: +3.9 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.43, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +6.4% per unit staked (our 43.8% × 2.43 − 1).
Osters IF vs Helsingborg match preview
Osters IF is set to face Helsingborg in the Superettan on November 2, 2026. According to our model, Osters IF has a 55% probability of winning, while Helsingborg's chances stand at 20%, with a 24% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Osters IF is 1.91 compared to Helsingborg's 1.09, indicating a stronger attacking performance anticipated from the home side. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Osters IF, occurring with a 10% probability.
Recent form shows Osters IF with a mixed record of W-W-L-L-W-L, while Helsingborg has drawn twice and lost three of their last five matches, with one win. Both teams are predicted to score, with a 58% chance for over 2.5 goals in the match. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Osters IF and Helsingborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.01
Osters IF and Helsingborg attack and defence ratings
Osters IF
Helsingborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Osters IF vs Helsingborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Osters IF | 43.8% | 2.28 | +3.9% | 2.43 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.5% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Osters IF | 43.8% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Helsingborg | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% |
| No | 42.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Osters IF win | 33.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 44.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.1% |
Osters IF vs Helsingborg stats
Osters IF and Helsingborg recent form
| Osters IF |
WWLLWL |
| Helsingborg |
DDLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Osters IF and Helsingborg season so far
Osters IF record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Helsingborg record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Osters IF vs Helsingborg head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Helsingborg | Osters IF | Superettan | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Osters IF vs Helsingborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.9%, draw 25.9%, away 34.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.54 | 2.68 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.77 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.32 | 3.54 | 2.68 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43 | 3.67 | 2.66 |
| SBO | 2.13 | 3.28 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .