Varbergs BoIS FC
vs
Ljungskile SK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Varbergs BoIS FC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.99.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK
| Probability | Varbergs BoIS FC | Draw | Ljungskile SK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.6% | 28.9% | 24.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.6% | 28.9% | 24.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Varbergs BoIS FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.99.
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK match preview
Varbergs BoIS FC hosts Ljungskile SK in a Superettan clash with Varbergs favored to win at 47% according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, occurring 11% of the time in simulations. Varbergs has shown mixed recent form with two draws and two wins in their last six matches, while Ljungskile has recorded two wins and three draws in their recent outings.
In terms of expected goals, Varbergs is projected to score 1.46, while Ljungskile is expected to net 0.99. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 44%, and both teams are given a 50% chance of scoring. Historically, Varbergs has a perfect record against Ljungskile, winning their last encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Varbergs BoIS FC and Ljungskile SK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Varbergs BoIS FC and Ljungskile SK attack and defence ratings
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ljungskile SK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 46.6% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Ljungskile SK | 24.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.6% |
| No | 50.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Varbergs BoIS FC win | 23.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 53.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 11.3% | |
| 0-0 | 9.9% |
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK stats
Varbergs BoIS FC and Ljungskile SK recent form
| Varbergs BoIS FC |
DDWWLD |
| Ljungskile SK |
DWDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Varbergs BoIS FC and Ljungskile SK season so far
Varbergs BoIS FC record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ljungskile SK record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Ljungskile SK | Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.