IFK Norrkoping
vs
Ostersunds FK
Garuda Lions Prediction: IFK Norrkoping
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.75.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK
| Probability | IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Ostersunds FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.0% | 33.0% | 22.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.0% | 33.0% | 22.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why IFK Norrkoping
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK match preview
In the upcoming Superettan match, IFK Norrkoping hosts Ostersunds FK with a probability of 45% for a home win, while a draw stands at 33% and an away victory at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with a 16% likelihood. The expected goals for IFK Norrkoping are 1.19, compared to Ostersunds FK's 0.75, indicating a stronger offensive performance from the home side.
Recent form shows IFK Norrkoping with a record of D-W-W-D-W-D, while Ostersunds FK has W-D-D-D-W-D. In their last encounter, IFK Norrkoping secured a win, with a head-to-head record of 1 win for Norrkoping and no wins for Ostersunds FK. The model suggests a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IFK Norrkoping and Ostersunds FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.93
IFK Norrkoping and Ostersunds FK attack and defence ratings
IFK Norrkoping
Ostersunds FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Norrkoping | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Norrkoping | 45.0% |
| Draw | 33.0% | |
| Ostersunds FK | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.8% |
| No | 62.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | IFK Norrkoping win | 20.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 55.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.9% |
| 0-0 | 15.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.1% |
IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK stats
IFK Norrkoping and Ostersunds FK recent form
| IFK Norrkoping |
DWWDWD |
| Ostersunds FK |
WDDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IFK Norrkoping and Ostersunds FK season so far
IFK Norrkoping record
- They have won 18 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ostersunds FK record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Ostersunds FK | IFK Norrkoping | Superettan | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.