Ostersunds FK
vs
United Nordic
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ostersunds FK
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic
| Probability | Ostersunds FK | Draw | United Nordic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.2% | 31.2% | 14.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.2% | 31.2% | 14.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ostersunds FK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic match preview
Ostersunds FK holds a 54% probability of winning against United Nordic, with the most likely scoreline predicted to be 1-0 at 19%. The expected goals for Ostersunds FK stand at 1.31, while United Nordic is projected at 0.56. Recent form shows Ostersunds FK with three draws and two wins in their last five matches, while United Nordic has struggled, recording four losses and one win in the same period.
The likelihood of a draw is assessed at 31%, and both teams to score is estimated at 32%. With Ostersunds FK's recent performance slightly more favorable, they will look to capitalize on United Nordic's recent form, which includes three consecutive losses. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ostersunds FK and United Nordic expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.87
Ostersunds FK and United Nordic attack and defence ratings
Ostersunds FK
United Nordic
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ostersunds FK | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ostersunds FK | 54.2% |
| Draw | 31.2% | |
| United Nordic | 14.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.4% |
| No | 67.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ostersunds FK win | 26.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.4% | |
| Loss | 45.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.1% |
| 0-0 | 16.5% | |
| 2-0 | 13.3% |
Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic stats
Ostersunds FK and United Nordic recent form
| Ostersunds FK |
DDDWDW |
| United Nordic |
LLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ostersunds FK and United Nordic season so far
Ostersunds FK record
- They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
United Nordic record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | United Nordic | Ostersunds FK | Superettan | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.