United Nordic
vs
Norrby IF
Garuda Lions Prediction: Norrby IF
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
United Nordic vs Norrby IF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: United Nordic vs Norrby IF
| Probability | United Nordic | Draw | Norrby IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.0% | 30.2% | 38.8% |
| Market | 36.4% | 25.3% | 38.2% |
| Final | 35.1% | 26.6% | 38.4% |
| Edge | -5.4% | +4.9% | +0.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.67, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
United Nordic vs Norrby IF match preview
United Nordic faces Norrby IF in their upcoming Superettan match, with the probabilities indicating a competitive encounter. According to our model, United Nordic has a 35% chance of winning, while Norrby IF stands at 39%, and a draw is estimated at 27%. The expected goals suggest a slight edge for Norrby IF at 1.28 compared to United Nordic's 1.11. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 10%.
In terms of recent form, United Nordic has recorded two losses, one draw, one win, and two losses in their last six matches, while Norrby IF has struggled with one win, one draw, and four losses. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 43%, and both teams are expected to score 50% of the time. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate uncertainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
United Nordic and Norrby IF expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
United Nordic and Norrby IF attack and defence ratings
United Nordic
Norrby IF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
United Nordic vs Norrby IF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norrby IF | 38.4% | 2.61 | +0.5% | 2.67 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | United Nordic | 35.1% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Norrby IF | 38.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.8% |
| No | 50.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Norrby IF win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 61.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.5% | |
| 0-1 | 10.4% |
United Nordic vs Norrby IF stats
United Nordic and Norrby IF recent form
| United Nordic |
LLDLWL |
| Norrby IF |
WDLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
United Nordic and Norrby IF season so far
United Nordic record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Norrby IF record
- They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
United Nordic vs Norrby IF head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Norrby IF | United Nordic | Superettan | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
United Nordic vs Norrby IF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.0%, draw 25.5%, away 38.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.28 | 3.66 | 2.67 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.35 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.55 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.60 | 2.36 |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 3.66 | 2.67 |
| Pinnacle | 2.59 | 4.10 | 2.36 |
| SBO | 2.54 | 3.28 | 2.21 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .