Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 27

Ljungskile SK vs IK brage

2 – 0 Full time

28′Daniel Ljung
30′Lasse Bruun Madsen
46′Jacob StenssonAlex Mortensen
47′Lukas corner
53′Daniel Ljung
59′York Rafaelmass sise
59′Lasse Bruun MadsenGustav Berggren
70′elton hedstromWilliam Nilsson
75′mass sise
80′Albin SporrongGideon Granstrom
80′Samuel Adrian
86′Samuel Adriansamuel hogblom
86′Gideon Granstrom
86′Pontus JonssonJakob Römo Skille
90′mehmet uzelGustav hedin
90′Alfons BorénFilip Ornblom
90′IK brage

Skarsjövallen, LjungskileReferee: Farouk Nehdi

Ljungskile SK 44%
Draw 25%
IK brage 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 0
56 Possession % 44
5 Corners 2

Ljungskile SK vs IK brage overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ljungskile SK vs IK brage

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLjungskile SKDrawIK brage
Model45.5%26.4%28.2%
Market44.0%25.2%30.8%
Final44.4%25.5%30.1%
Edge+1.5%+1.2%-2.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Ljungskile SK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.27.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ljungskile SK ↓ / IK brage → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Ljungskile SK and IK brage expected goals

Ljungskile SK 1.66
IK brage 1.27

Total expected goals: 2.93

Ljungskile SK and IK brage attack and defence ratings

Ljungskile SK

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.02 +2%

IK brage

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ljungskile SK vs IK brage: result vs prediction

Ljungskile SK 2 – 0 IK brage

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

Ljungskile SK vs IK brage markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ljungskile SK 44.4% 2.25 +1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.1% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.4% 1.68 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.5% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ljungskile SK44.4%
Draw25.5%
IK brage30.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.1%
Under 2.543.9%
Both teams to scoreYes59.4%
No40.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.9%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)55.6%
Handicap -1Ljungskile SK win24.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss54.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.4%
2-19.3%
1-07.7%

Ljungskile SK vs IK brage stats

Ljungskile SK and IK brage recent form

newest first
Ljungskile SK DLLWDL
IK brage WLDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ljungskile SK and IK brage going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ljungskile SK record

  • They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IK brage record

  • They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ljungskile SK vs IK brage head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Ljungskile SK wins 1Draws 1IK brage wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-09IK brageLjungskile SKSuperettan2-2
2020-10-22IK brageLjungskile SKSuperettan0-1
2020-07-08Ljungskile SKIK brageSuperettan1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ljungskile SK vs IK brage odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 25.5%, away 30.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.08 3.74 3.02
Bet365 2.10 3.40 2.90
BetVictor 2.10 3.70 3.00
Betano 2.18 3.55 2.95
Betfair 2.10 3.80 3.10
Dafabet 2.19 3.60 3.00
Marathonbet 2.06 3.74 3.00
Pinnacle 2.17 3.63 3.21
SBO 2.16 3.20 2.65
William Hill 2.10 3.30 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▲ +0.18
X 3.67 ▼ -0.04
2 3.00 ▼ -0.42

13 snapshots recorded, from .