Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 26

Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK

1 – 1 Full time

46′shakur omarelton hedstrom
46′Karl HolmbergManasse Kusu
64′Chovanie AmatkarijoJacob Ortmark
66′Jacob Ortmark
69′Gustav hedin
72′Gustav hedinFilip Ornblom
73′Samuel Adriansamuel hogblom
82′Lukas corneralex rasheed
82′mehmet uzelDavid Frisk
87′Samuel Wikmanhampus soderstrom
87′Rasmus Wiedesheim-PaulFabian Wahlstrom
90′Antonio YakoubChristopher Redenstrand
90′Ljungskile SK

Behrn Arena, OrebroReferee: Per Martin Melin

Orebro SK 45%
Draw 26%
Ljungskile SK 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
64 Possession % 36
7 Corners 3

Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOrebro SKDrawLjungskile SK
Model46.4%25.4%28.2%
Market44.8%25.6%29.6%
Final45.2%25.6%29.3%
Edge+0.4%-0.1%-0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Orebro SK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.34.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Orebro SK ↓ / Ljungskile SK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Orebro SK and Ljungskile SK expected goals

Orebro SK 1.76
Ljungskile SK 1.34

Total expected goals: 3.11

Orebro SK and Ljungskile SK attack and defence ratings

Orebro SK

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Ljungskile SK

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK: result vs prediction

Orebro SK 1 – 1 Ljungskile SK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Orebro SK 45.2% 2.21 +0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.2% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.6% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Orebro SK45.2%
Draw25.6%
Ljungskile SK29.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.0%
Under 2.540.0%
Both teams to scoreYes62.2%
No37.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.7%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)54.8%
Handicap -1Orebro SK win25.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss53.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-19.4%
1-27.1%

Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK stats

Orebro SK and Ljungskile SK recent form

newest first
Orebro SK LDWLDW
Ljungskile SK LLWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Orebro SK and Ljungskile SK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Orebro SK record

  • They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.

Ljungskile SK record

  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Orebro SK wins 0Draws 1Ljungskile SK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-27Ljungskile SKOrebro SKSuperettan3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.8%, draw 25.6%, away 29.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.08 3.60 3.12
Bet365 1.95 3.50 3.10
BetVictor 2.05 3.60 3.20
Betano 2.10 3.50 3.15
Betfair 2.00 3.80 3.10
Dafabet 2.10 3.60 3.15
Marathonbet 2.06 3.60 3.10
Pinnacle 2.06 3.89 3.26
SBO 2.06 3.26 2.95
William Hill 2.00 3.50 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.06 ▲ +0.03
X 3.60 ▲ +0.04
2 3.11 ▼ -0.04

15 snapshots recorded, from .