Orebro SK
vs
Ljungskile SK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Orebro SK
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK
| Probability | Orebro SK | Draw | Ljungskile SK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.2% | 25.4% | 28.4% |
| Market | 44.1% | 25.8% | 30.2% |
| Final | 44.6% | 25.7% | 29.7% |
| Edge | +2.1% | -0.3% | -1.8% |
Why Orebro SK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Orebro SK below the model: +2.1 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK match preview
Orebro SK faces Ljungskile SK in an upcoming Superettan match, with Orebro SK holding a 45% chance of victory compared to Ljungskile SK's 29%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Orebro SK, occurring with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring affair, with over 2.5 goals having a 60% likelihood and both teams scoring at 62%.
Recent form shows Orebro SK with a record of L-D-W-L-D-W, while Ljungskile SK has struggled, recording L-L-W-D-L-D. In their last head-to-head encounter, Ljungskile SK secured a victory, indicating a competitive matchup. Expected goals suggest Orebro SK will generate 1.76, while Ljungskile SK is forecasted to achieve 1.34.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Orebro SK and Ljungskile SK expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Orebro SK and Ljungskile SK attack and defence ratings
Orebro SK
Ljungskile SK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orebro SK | 44.6% | 2.24 | +2.1% | 2.18 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orebro SK | 44.6% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Ljungskile SK | 29.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.3% |
| No | 37.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Orebro SK win | 25.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 53.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK stats
Orebro SK and Ljungskile SK recent form
| Orebro SK |
LDWLDW |
| Ljungskile SK |
LLWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Orebro SK and Ljungskile SK season so far
Orebro SK record
- They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
Ljungskile SK record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Ljungskile SK | Orebro SK | Superettan | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.1%, draw 25.8%, away 30.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.60 | 3.12 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.15 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.76 | 3.12 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.16 | 2.86 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .