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Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 25

GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile SK

3 – 2 Full time

3′Lukas corner
30′Filip Ambrozdaniel lagerlof
39′Lukas corner
56′Elvis Hansson
57′William NilssonAlfons Borén
57′David FriskHugo Borstam
64′Nils·ErikssonEdward Carrick
69′Shalom Ekongkawa sulaiman
69′Ludvig NåvikAlper Demirol
76′Lukas corneralex rasheed
76′vilmer tyrenelton hedstrom
86′Eron Gojani
90′GIF Sundsvall
93′Ljungskile SK

Idrottsparken, SundsvallReferee: Karlsson, Henric

GIF Sundsvall 21%
Draw 26%
Ljungskile SK 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 14
9 Shots on target 6
55 Possession % 45
5 Corners 2

GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile SK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile SK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGIF SundsvallDrawLjungskile SK
Model16.8%28.7%54.5%
Market23.0%24.8%52.2%
Final21.4%25.8%52.8%
Edge-6.1%+3.8%+2.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Ljungskile SK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.72.
  • The market prices Ljungskile SK below the model: +2.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

GIF Sundsvall ↓ / Ljungskile SK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 15% 12% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

GIF Sundsvall and Ljungskile SK expected goals

GIF Sundsvall 0.72
Ljungskile SK 1.49

Total expected goals: 2.21

GIF Sundsvall and Ljungskile SK attack and defence ratings

GIF Sundsvall

Attack 0.49 -51%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Ljungskile SK

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile SK: result vs prediction

GIF Sundsvall 3 – 2 Ljungskile SK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile SK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ljungskile SK 52.8% 1.89 +2.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.1% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score No 59.2% 1.69 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 78.6% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.5% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2GIF Sundsvall21.4%
Draw25.8%
Ljungskile SK52.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.9%
Under 2.562.1%
Both teams to scoreYes40.8%
No59.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.2%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)78.6%
Handicap -1Ljungskile SK win28.8%
Push (exactly one goal)25.7%
Loss45.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-115.2%
1-112.9%
0-012.2%

GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile SK stats

GIF Sundsvall and Ljungskile SK recent form

newest first
GIF Sundsvall LLWWLL
Ljungskile SK LWDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

GIF Sundsvall and Ljungskile SK going into this match

league record before kick-off

GIF Sundsvall record

  • They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 24 matches.
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ljungskile SK record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile SK head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1GIF Sundsvall wins 1Draws 1Ljungskile SK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-14Ljungskile SKGIF SundsvallSuperettan1-0
2020-10-26Ljungskile SKGIF SundsvallSuperettan0-0
2020-08-07GIF SundsvallLjungskile SKSuperettan5-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile SK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.0%, draw 24.8%, away 52.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.10 3.75 1.76
Bet365 3.70 3.60 1.75
BetVictor 4.00 3.70 1.80
Betano 3.95 3.65 1.80
Betfair 4.20 3.80 1.75
Marathonbet 4.10 3.75 1.74
Pinnacle 4.31 4.01 1.76
SBO 3.70 3.46 1.82
William Hill 3.90 3.60 1.73

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.00 ▲ +0.59
X 3.70 ▲ +0.15
2 1.76 ▼ -0.19

10 snapshots recorded, from .