Oddevold
vs
IFK Varnamo
1 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | Mattias bahnoOliver·Thoreson | ||
| 23′ | Viktor Claesson | ||
| 46′ | Marcus Antonsson | ||
| 56′ | Daniel KrezicAulon bitiqi | ||
| 56′ | olle olblad kjellmanCarl Freddie Lantz | ||
| 57′ | Viktor ClaessonSigge Skorpan Jansson | ||
| 64′ | Musa Oluwaseyi AkinfenwaCarl Johansson | ||
| 64′ | August LjungbergHugo Andersson Mella | ||
| 68′ | Oscar Iglicar BerntssonGustav Forssell | ||
| 68′ | Hugo Engstromadam engelbrektsson | ||
| 77′ | Oddevold |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo
| Probability | Oddevold | Draw | IFK Varnamo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.9% | 27.2% | 27.9% |
| Market | 42.5% | 27.0% | 30.6% |
| Final | 43.1% | 27.0% | 29.9% |
| Edge | +2.5% | +0.2% | -2.7% |
Why Oddevold
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.21.
- The market prices Oddevold below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oddevold and IFK Varnamo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Oddevold and IFK Varnamo attack and defence ratings
Oddevold
IFK Varnamo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo: result vs prediction
Oddevold 1 – 2 IFK Varnamo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oddevold | 43.1% | 2.32 | +2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oddevold | 43.1% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| IFK Varnamo | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oddevold win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo stats
Oddevold and IFK Varnamo recent form
| Oddevold |
DWWLWD |
| IFK Varnamo |
LWDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oddevold and IFK Varnamo going into this match
Oddevold record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- 51% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IFK Varnamo record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | IFK Varnamo | Oddevold | Superettan | 3-1 |
| 2019-08-31 | IFK Varnamo | Oddevold | Ettan - Södra | 1-0 |
| 2019-06-24 | Oddevold | IFK Varnamo | Ettan - Södra | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 27.0%, away 30.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.40 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.45 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 3.40 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22 | 3.55 | 3.15 |
| SBO | 2.03 | 3.21 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .