Superettan · 2026-09-15T17:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 24

IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF

1 – 3 Full time

25′			Filip Olsson
28′			Mattis AdolfssonSebastian Starke Hedlund
63′			Filip OlssonNoah Söderberg
65′			calle johanssonSigge Skorpan Jansson
65′			Musa Oluwaseyi AkinfenwaCarl Johansson
67′			Viktor Claesson
72′			Hannes·Bladh Pijaca
76′			Noah Söderberg
78′			Viktor Claesson
83′			Matias TamminenDaniel Ask
83′			Kalipha Jawlawilliam thellsson
84′			August LjungbergFred bozicevic
84′			Kai MeriluotoMohamed kamara

Finnvedsvallen, VarnamoReferee: Per Martin Melin, Sweden

IFK Varnamo

46%

Draw

25%

Osters IF

29%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

20	Shots	15
10	Shots on target	5
50	Possession %	50
11	Corners	3

IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	IFK Varnamo	Draw	Osters IF
Model	38.1%	27.3%	34.5%
Market	48.7%	24.4%	26.9%
Final	46.1%	25.1%	28.8%
Edge	-10.6%	+2.9%	+7.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

79%

3+ goals

54%

No goals

IFK Varnamo and Osters IF expected goals

IFK Varnamo

1.47

Osters IF

1.39

Total expected goals: 2.86

IFK Varnamo and Osters IF attack and defence ratings

IFK Varnamo

Attack

1.08 +8%

Defence

0.94 -6%

Osters IF

Attack

1.13 +13%

Defence

0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF: result vs prediction

IFK Varnamo 1 – 3 Osters IF

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Superettan

IFK Norrkoping v Oddevold — match page · 2026-09-13
Ljungskile SK vs Falkenbergs FF — team news & stats · 2026-09-13
Orebro SK vs United Nordic · 2026-09-14
Norrby IF v Varbergs BoIS FC — match page · 2026-09-14
Ostersunds FK vs Helsingborg — team news & stats · 2026-09-14
IK brage v Sandviken — match page · 2026-09-15
Landskrona BoIS vs GIF Sundsvall — team news & stats · 2026-09-15

Before and after this match

IFK Varnamo, previous: United Nordic – IFK Varnamo, 2026-09-09
IFK Varnamo, next: Oddevold v IFK Varnamo analysis
Osters IF, previous: Falkenbergs FF vs Osters IF prediction
Osters IF, next: Osters IF vs IFK Norrkoping: odds and pick

IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	IFK Varnamo	46.1%	2.17	-10.6%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	54.4%	1.84	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	58.9%	1.70	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.9%	1.34	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	61.9%	1.62	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	IFK Varnamo	46.1%
	Draw	25.1%
	Osters IF	28.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	54.4%
	Under 2.5	45.6%
Both teams to score	Yes	58.9%
	No	41.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	71.2%
	12 (either side)	74.9%
	X2 (draw or away)	53.9%
Handicap -1	IFK Varnamo win	18.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.3%
	Loss	61.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.9%
	2-1	8.6%
	1-2	8.1%

IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF stats

IFK Varnamo and Osters IF recent form

newest first

IFK Varnamo	WDWDWD
Osters IF	LLDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

IFK Varnamo and Osters IF going into this match

league record before kick-off

IFK Varnamo record

They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Osters IF record

They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5IFK Varnamo wins 2Draws 3Osters IF wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-06-09	Osters IF	IFK Varnamo	Superettan	3-0
2025-09-14	Osters IF	IFK Varnamo	Allsvenskan	4-3
2025-05-24	IFK Varnamo	Osters IF	Allsvenskan	1-1
2024-02-10	IFK Varnamo	Osters IF	Friendlies Clubs	3-1
2023-02-25	Osters IF	IFK Varnamo	Friendlies Clubs	0-1
2021-09-12	Osters IF	IFK Varnamo	Superettan	2-0
2021-07-17	IFK Varnamo	Osters IF	Superettan	2-0
2018-08-27	IFK Varnamo	Osters IF	Superettan	1-0
2018-05-13	Osters IF	IFK Varnamo	Superettan	0-0
2017-08-28	IFK Varnamo	Osters IF	Superettan	2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.7%, draw 24.5%, away 26.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.90	3.80	3.45
Bet365	1.90	3.70	3.75
BetVictor	1.87	3.90	3.50
Betano	1.93	3.70	3.40
Betfair	1.90	4.00	3.40
Marathonbet	1.88	3.80	3.44
Pinnacle	1.89	4.09	3.61
SBO	2.03	3.47	3.04
Unibet	1.80	3.75	3.50
William Hill	1.85	3.60	3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▲ +0.03

X 3.80 ▲ +0.05

2 3.44 ▲ +0.01

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-09T08:10:01Z.