Ostersunds FK
vs
Helsingborg
1 – 0 Full time
| 47′ | Jakob Voelkerling Persson | ||
| 60′ | Adam AkimeyAlexander Johansson | ||
| 68′ | Yannick Adjoumani | ||
| 70′ | Jakob Voelkerling PerssonMarcus Gudmann | ||
| 70′ | Julian LarssonTimothé Rupil | ||
| 72′ | Helsingborg | ||
| 78′ | Samuel AsomaDaouda Amadou | ||
| 78′ | Erik Lindellclancy biten | ||
| 85′ | Amar BegicMolls Donald Ntchamda |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
Ostersunds FK vs Helsingborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ostersunds FK vs Helsingborg
| Probability | Ostersunds FK | Draw | Helsingborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.6% | 27.0% | 19.4% |
| Market | 50.7% | 26.3% | 23.0% |
| Final | 51.4% | 26.5% | 22.1% |
| Edge | +2.9% | +0.7% | -3.6% |
Why Ostersunds FK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.90.
- The market prices Ostersunds FK below the model: +2.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ostersunds FK and Helsingborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Ostersunds FK and Helsingborg attack and defence ratings
Ostersunds FK
Helsingborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ostersunds FK vs Helsingborg: result vs prediction
Ostersunds FK 1 – 0 Helsingborg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ostersunds FK vs Helsingborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ostersunds FK | 51.4% | 1.95 | +2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ostersunds FK | 51.4% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Helsingborg | 22.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.8% |
| No | 51.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ostersunds FK win | 29.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 46.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 2-0 | 10.6% |
Ostersunds FK vs Helsingborg stats
Ostersunds FK and Helsingborg recent form
| Ostersunds FK |
DWDDWD |
| Helsingborg |
WLDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ostersunds FK and Helsingborg going into this match
Ostersunds FK record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Helsingborg record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ostersunds FK vs Helsingborg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Helsingborg | Ostersunds FK | Superettan | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Ostersunds FK | Helsingborg | Superettan | 2-2 |
| 2025-06-01 | Helsingborg | Ostersunds FK | Superettan | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-13 | Ostersunds FK | Helsingborg | Superettan | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-28 | Helsingborg | Ostersunds FK | Superettan | 0-0 |
| 2023-10-07 | Ostersunds FK | Helsingborg | Superettan | 1-0 |
| 2023-07-10 | Helsingborg | Ostersunds FK | Superettan | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-27 | Helsingborg | Ostersunds FK | Allsvenskan | 0-1 |
| 2020-07-27 | Ostersunds FK | Helsingborg | Allsvenskan | 0-0 |
| 2019-08-30 | Helsingborg | Ostersunds FK | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ostersunds FK vs Helsingborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 26.3%, away 23.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.54 | 4.04 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.87 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 3.54 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 3.67 | 4.23 |
| SBO | 1.89 | 3.28 | 3.65 |
| Unibet | 1.83 | 3.55 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .