Superettan · 2026-09-18T17:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 25

Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK

0 – 0 Full time

12′			Daniel MiljanovicAbodi Qasem
63′			Curtis EdwardsMolls Donald Ntchamda
71′			Melker NilssonNils Bertilsson
71′			Ayo Rupia-EllisLassina Sangaré
81′			lion beqiriOskar Lindberg

Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, FalkenbergReferee: Kristoffer Karlsson

Falkenbergs FF

39%

Draw

30%

Ostersunds FK

31%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

5	Shots	5
5	Shots on target	1
46	Possession %	54
5	Corners	9

Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Falkenbergs FF	Draw	Ostersunds FK
Model	35.9%	32.5%	31.6%
Market	39.6%	28.9%	31.4%
Final	38.7%	29.8%	31.5%
Edge	-3.7%	+3.5%	+0.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

87%

2+ goals

64%

3+ goals

36%

No goals

13%

Falkenbergs FF and Ostersunds FK expected goals

Falkenbergs FF

1.10

Ostersunds FK

1.02

Total expected goals: 2.12

Falkenbergs FF and Ostersunds FK attack and defence ratings

Falkenbergs FF

Attack

1.28 +28%

Defence

0.95 -5%

Ostersunds FK

Attack

0.82 -18%

Defence

0.55 -45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK: result vs prediction

Falkenbergs FF 0 – 0 Ostersunds FK

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Superettan

Osters IF v IFK Norrkoping — match page · 2026-09-19
United Nordic vs Landskrona BoIS — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Varbergs BoIS FC vs IK brage · 2026-09-19
Oddevold v IFK Varnamo — match page · 2026-09-19
Sandviken vs Orebro SK — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile SK · 2026-09-20
Helsingborg v Norrby IF — match page · 2026-09-20

Before and after this match

Falkenbergs FF, previous: Ljungskile SK vs Falkenbergs FF: odds and pick
Falkenbergs FF, next: IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF: odds and pick
Ostersunds FK, previous: Ostersunds FK v Helsingborg analysis
Ostersunds FK, next: Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC: odds and pick

Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Falkenbergs FF	38.7%	2.58	-3.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	64.5%	1.55	—	—
Both teams to score	No	56.1%	1.78	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	70.2%	1.42	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	64.1%	1.56	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Falkenbergs FF	38.7%
	Draw	29.8%
	Ostersunds FK	31.5%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	35.5%
	Under 2.5	64.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	43.9%
	No	56.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	68.5%
	12 (either side)	70.2%
	X2 (draw or away)	61.3%
Handicap -1	Falkenbergs FF win	15.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.8%
	Loss	64.1%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.8%
	0-0	13.4%
	1-0	11.9%

Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK stats

Falkenbergs FF and Ostersunds FK recent form

newest first

Falkenbergs FF	WWLWLD
Ostersunds FK	WDWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Falkenbergs FF and Ostersunds FK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Falkenbergs FF record

They have won 13 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ostersunds FK record

They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Falkenbergs FF wins 2Draws 6Ostersunds FK wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-09	Ostersunds FK	Falkenbergs FF	Superettan	2-2
2025-09-28	Falkenbergs FF	Ostersunds FK	Superettan	4-0
2025-07-19	Ostersunds FK	Falkenbergs FF	Superettan	3-1
2022-11-13	Ostersunds FK	Falkenbergs FF	Superettan	2-0
2022-11-10	Falkenbergs FF	Ostersunds FK	Superettan	1-1
2020-08-29	Ostersunds FK	Falkenbergs FF	Allsvenskan	2-1
2020-07-11	Falkenbergs FF	Ostersunds FK	Allsvenskan	0-1
2019-09-21	Falkenbergs FF	Ostersunds FK	Allsvenskan	1-0
2019-04-07	Ostersunds FK	Falkenbergs FF	Allsvenskan	3-2
2016-10-01	Ostersunds FK	Falkenbergs FF	Allsvenskan	6-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Falkenbergs FF vs Ostersunds FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.6%, draw 28.9%, away 31.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.32	3.10	3.06
Bet365	2.30	3.20	2.75
BetVictor	2.30	3.25	3.00
Betano	2.42	3.15	2.85
Betfair	2.30	3.30	2.88
Marathonbet	2.35	3.08	2.97
Pinnacle	2.38	3.19	3.18
SBO	2.28	3.08	2.89
William Hill	2.30	2.90	2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▼ -0.03

X 3.15 ▼ -0.25

2 2.90 ▲ +0.20

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-12T08:10:02Z.