Superettan · ·Matchday 26

Norrby IF vs Osters IF

Garuda Lions Prediction: Norrby IF

1 – 0 Predicted score · 8% model probability

Borås Arena, BorasReferee: Rambod Beigi

Norrby IF 42%
Draw 26%
Osters IF 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Norrby IF wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
90%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
51%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
8% of simulated outcomes

Norrby IF vs Osters IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Norrby IF vs Osters IF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNorrby IFDrawOsters IF
Model30.8%29.7%39.6%
Market46.1%24.8%29.1%
Final42.3%26.0%31.7%
Edge-15.4%+4.9%+10.5%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Norrby IF vs Osters IF match preview

Norrby IF faces Osters IF in the Superettan on October 10, 2026. Norrby IF has a 41% probability of winning, while Osters IF stands at 33%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Norrby IF is 1.14, slightly lower than Osters IF's 1.32. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, occurring with an 8% probability, while there is a 51% chance that both teams will score.

In terms of recent form, Norrby IF has struggled, recording one win in their last six matches (D-L-L-L-L-W), while Osters IF has shown slightly better form with two wins in their last six (L-W-L-L-D-W). In their last encounter, Osters IF emerged victorious, maintaining a perfect record against Norrby IF. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Norrby IF ↓ / Osters IF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 7% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Norrby IF and Osters IF expected goals

Norrby IF 1.14
Osters IF 1.32

Total expected goals: 2.46

Norrby IF and Osters IF attack and defence ratings

Norrby IF

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Osters IF

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

Norrby IF vs Osters IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Norrby IF 42.3% 2.36 -15.4% 2.07
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.3% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.2% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.2% 1.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Norrby IF42.3%
Draw26.0%
Osters IF31.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.7%
Under 2.555.3%
Both teams to scoreYes51.2%
No48.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.3%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)57.7%
Handicap -1Norrby IF win12.9%
Push (exactly one goal)17.8%
Loss69.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
0-110.0%
0-09.8%

Norrby IF vs Osters IF stats

Norrby IF and Osters IF recent form

newest first
Norrby IF DLLLLW
Osters IF LWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Norrby IF and Osters IF season so far

league record

Norrby IF record

  • They have won 4 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Osters IF record

  • They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Norrby IF vs Osters IF head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Norrby IF wins 2Draws 4Osters IF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-30Osters IFNorrby IFSuperettan2-1
2022-10-29Norrby IFOsters IFSuperettan2-0
2022-05-07Osters IFNorrby IFSuperettan2-0
2021-10-23Norrby IFOsters IFSuperettan0-0
2021-06-05Osters IFNorrby IFSuperettan0-0
2020-10-11Norrby IFOsters IFSuperettan0-2
2020-06-17Osters IFNorrby IFSuperettan2-1
2019-07-27Norrby IFOsters IFSuperettan3-1
2019-04-29Osters IFNorrby IFSuperettan0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Norrby IF vs Osters IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.1%, draw 24.8%, away 29.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.98 3.74 3.26
Bet365 2.00 3.60 3.00
BetVictor 2.00 3.75 3.25
Betano 2.07 3.65 3.10
Betfair 2.00 3.90 3.20
Dafabet 2.07 3.70 3.15
Marathonbet 1.96 3.74 3.24
Pinnacle 1.96 3.91 3.32
SBO 2.03 3.26 2.85
William Hill 2.00 3.50 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▼ -0.06
X 3.72 ▲ +0.02
2 3.17 ▲ +0.17

12 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Norrby IF Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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