Helsingborg
vs
Ljungskile SK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Helsingborg
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Helsingborg is the favourite, not a value bet.
Helsingborg vs Ljungskile SK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Helsingborg vs Ljungskile SK
| Probability | Helsingborg | Draw | Ljungskile SK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.4% | 30.9% | 37.7% |
| Market | 45.2% | 25.8% | 29.0% |
| Final | 41.8% | 27.0% | 31.2% |
| Edge | -3.5% | +1.3% | +2.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.8% per unit staked (our 41.8% × 2.11 − 1).
Helsingborg vs Ljungskile SK match preview
Helsingborg faces Ljungskile SK in the Superettan on October 25, 2026. The probabilities indicate Helsingborg has a 42% chance of winning, while Ljungskile SK stands at 31%, with a 27% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Helsingborg, occurring at a 10% probability. Expected goals for Helsingborg are 1.09, slightly lower than Ljungskile SK's 1.22.
In terms of recent form, Helsingborg has recorded a draw, two losses, a win, and another loss in their last five matches. Ljungskile SK, on the other hand, has a more varied record with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their recent outings. The head-to-head results show that Ljungskile SK has won the last encounter, with Helsingborg yet to secure a victory against them. The confidence grade for this match is rated at C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Helsingborg and Ljungskile SK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Helsingborg and Ljungskile SK attack and defence ratings
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Helsingborg vs Ljungskile SK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Helsingborg | 41.8% | 2.39 | -3.5% | 2.11 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Helsingborg | 41.8% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Ljungskile SK | 31.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.1% |
| No | 51.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Helsingborg win | 12.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 68.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.3% | |
| 0-1 | 10.8% |
Helsingborg vs Ljungskile SK stats
Helsingborg and Ljungskile SK recent form
| Helsingborg |
DLDLWL |
| Ljungskile SK |
WDLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Helsingborg and Ljungskile SK season so far
Helsingborg record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ljungskile SK record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Helsingborg vs Ljungskile SK head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Ljungskile SK | Helsingborg | Superettan | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Helsingborg vs Ljungskile SK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.1%, draw 25.7%, away 29.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.60 | 3.24 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 3.60 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.60 | 3.22 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.47 | 3.49 |
| SBO | 2.00 | 3.26 | 2.92 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .