Norrby IF
vs
IFK Norrkoping
Garuda Lions Prediction: IFK Norrkoping
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.84.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — IFK Norrkoping is the favourite, not a value bet.
Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping
| Probability | Norrby IF | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.1% | 27.0% | 54.9% |
| Market | 23.0% | 23.0% | 54.1% |
| Final | 21.8% | 24.0% | 54.3% |
| Edge | -1.2% | +1.0% | +0.2% |
Why IFK Norrkoping
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.6% per unit staked (our 54.3% × 1.91 − 1).
Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping match preview
Norrby IF faces IFK Norrkoping in the Superettan with a kickoff scheduled for October 25, 2026. According to our model, Norrby IF has a 22% probability of winning, while IFK Norrkoping stands at 54%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with a 13% chance. Norrby IF's expected goals are 0.84, whereas IFK Norrkoping's are significantly higher at 1.63.
In terms of recent form, Norrby IF has struggled, recording one win in their last six matches, while IFK Norrkoping has shown more resilience with four draws and two wins in their last six games. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45%, and both teams scoring has a probability of 47%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Norrby IF and IFK Norrkoping expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Norrby IF and IFK Norrkoping attack and defence ratings
Norrby IF
IFK Norrkoping
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Norrkoping | 54.3% | 1.84 | +0.2% | 1.91 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norrby IF | 21.8% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| IFK Norrkoping | 54.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | IFK Norrkoping win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 45.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 0-1 | 12.6% | |
| 0-2 | 11.2% |
Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping stats
Norrby IF and IFK Norrkoping recent form
| Norrby IF |
LWDLLL |
| IFK Norrkoping |
DWWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Norrby IF and IFK Norrkoping season so far
Norrby IF record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IFK Norrkoping record
- They have won 18 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | IFK Norrkoping | Norrby IF | Superettan | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Norrby IF | IFK Norrkoping | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.0%, draw 23.0%, away 54.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.10 | 4.05 | 1.70 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.80 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.76 |
| Marathonbet | 4.10 | 4.05 | 1.68 |
| Pinnacle | 4.02 | 4.68 | 1.70 |
| SBO | 3.24 | 3.28 | 1.87 |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 4.00 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .