IFK Varnamo
vs
Sandviken
Garuda Lions Prediction: IFK Varnamo
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken
| Probability | IFK Varnamo | Draw | Sandviken |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.6% | 26.6% | 33.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.6% | 26.6% | 33.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why IFK Varnamo
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken match preview
In the upcoming Superettan match between IFK Varnamo and Sandviken, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter. IFK Varnamo has a 40% chance of winning, while Sandviken stands at 34%, with a 27% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals suggest a close match, with IFK Varnamo projected to score 1.56 and Sandviken 1.43. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of IFK Varnamo, occurring with a 9% probability.
Recent form shows IFK Varnamo with a mixed record of L-W-L-W-D-W, while Sandviken has also experienced inconsistency, with D-L-W-D-L-W in their last five matches. Additionally, there is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% probability that both teams will score, indicating a potentially high-scoring affair.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IFK Varnamo and Sandviken expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
IFK Varnamo and Sandviken attack and defence ratings
IFK Varnamo
Sandviken
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Varnamo | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Varnamo | 39.6% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Sandviken | 33.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% |
| No | 38.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | IFK Varnamo win | 20.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 60.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken stats
IFK Varnamo and Sandviken recent form
| IFK Varnamo |
LWLWDW |
| Sandviken |
DLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IFK Varnamo and Sandviken season so far
IFK Varnamo record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sandviken record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Sandviken | IFK Varnamo | Superettan | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.