Superettan · Full time ·Matchday 20

IK brage vs United Nordic

1 – 2 Full time

Domnarvsvallen, BorlangeReferee: F. Nehdi

IK brage 37%
Draw 26%
United Nordic 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

IK brage vs United Nordic overview

Garuda Lions analysis: IK brage vs United Nordic

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIK brageDrawUnited Nordic
Model32.1%27.0%40.9%
Market38.4%26.1%35.5%
Final36.9%26.3%36.8%
Edge-6.3%+1.0%+5.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

IK brage ↓ / United Nordic → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 7% 1 6% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

IK brage and United Nordic expected goals

IK brage 1.35
United Nordic 1.54

Total expected goals: 2.88

IK brage and United Nordic attack and defence ratings

IK brage

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.31 +31%

United Nordic

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

IK brage vs United Nordic: result vs prediction

IK brage 1 – 2 United Nordic

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 20 fixtures

Superettan

Before and after this match

IK brage vs United Nordic markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 IK brage 36.9% 2.71 -6.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.1% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.3% 1.69 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.8% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2IK brage36.9%
Draw26.3%
United Nordic36.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.1%
Under 2.544.9%
Both teams to scoreYes59.3%
No40.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.2%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)63.1%
Handicap -1IK brage win14.8%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss67.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
1-28.9%
2-17.8%

IK brage vs United Nordic stats

IK brage and United Nordic recent form

newest first
IK brage LDLWDL
United Nordic DDDDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

IK brage and United Nordic going into this match

league record before kick-off

IK brage record

  • They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

United Nordic record

  • They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IK brage vs United Nordic head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0IK brage wins 0Draws 1United Nordic wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23United NordicIK brageSuperettan1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

IK brage vs United Nordic odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.4%, draw 26.1%, away 35.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 3.65 2.55
1xBet 2.40 3.54 2.63
888Sport 2.30 3.30 2.63
Bet365 2.30 3.30 2.55
BetVictor 2.40 3.60 2.63
Betano 2.42 3.55 2.60
Betfair 2.40 3.70 2.55
Dafabet 2.44 3.60 2.60
Marathonbet 2.40 3.54 2.63
Pinnacle 2.47 3.66 2.71
SBO 2.35 3.37 2.57
Superbet 2.42 3.50 2.62
Unibet 2.28 3.50 2.60
William Hill 2.38 3.30 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 ▼ -0.02
X 3.54 —
2 2.60 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .