Carabobo FC
vs
Metropolitanos FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Carabobo FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC
| Probability | Carabobo FC | Draw | Metropolitanos FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.4% | 27.5% | 35.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.4% | 27.5% | 35.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC match preview
Carabobo FC faces Metropolitanos FC in a closely contested matchup, with model probabilities showing Carabobo FC at 37% to win, Metropolitanos FC at 35%, and a draw at 27%. The expected goals are nearly even, with Carabobo FC at 1.44 and Metropolitanos FC at 1.39. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Carabobo FC, with a 9% likelihood.
Recent form indicates that Carabobo FC has secured three wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Metropolitanos FC has been strong, with four wins and two draws in their last six games. Historically, Carabobo FC has an advantage in their last ten encounters, winning five times, while Metropolitanos FC has only one victory. The model suggests a competitive match with a good chance for goals, as both teams to score is projected at 59%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Carabobo FC and Metropolitanos FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Carabobo FC and Metropolitanos FC attack and defence ratings
Carabobo FC
Metropolitanos FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carabobo FC | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carabobo FC | 37.4% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Metropolitanos FC | 35.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% |
| No | 41.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Carabobo FC win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 62.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC stats
Carabobo FC and Metropolitanos FC recent form
| Carabobo FC |
WDWDWW |
| Metropolitanos FC |
DDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Carabobo FC and Metropolitanos FC season so far
Carabobo FC record
- They have won 14 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
Metropolitanos FC record
- They have won 19 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Carabobo FC | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Metropolitanos FC | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-5 |
| 2026-05-03 | Carabobo FC | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Metropolitanos FC | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Metropolitanos FC | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-4 |
| 2025-10-22 | Carabobo FC | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Carabobo FC | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Carabobo FC | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-02 | Metropolitanos FC | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-3 |
| 2025-02-23 | Metropolitanos FC | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.