Metropolitanos FC
vs
Portuguesa FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Metropolitanos FC
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.80.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Metropolitanos FC vs Portuguesa FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Metropolitanos FC vs Portuguesa FC
| Probability | Metropolitanos FC | Draw | Portuguesa FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.4% | 24.1% | 14.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.4% | 24.1% | 14.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Metropolitanos FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Metropolitanos FC vs Portuguesa FC match preview
Metropolitanos FC enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 61%, bolstered by their recent form of four consecutive wins and a draw. They are expected to score 1.86 goals, with the most likely scoreline being 2-0, which has a 12% likelihood. In contrast, Portuguesa FC has a lower expected goals figure of 0.80 and has struggled recently, managing only one win in their last six matches.
Historically, the teams have had a competitive rivalry, with Metropolitanos FC winning four of their last ten encounters, while Portuguesa FC has claimed three victories. The likelihood of a draw stands at 24%, and there is a near-equal chance of both teams scoring, with probabilities at 48%. Overall, the matchup indicates a favorable outlook for Metropolitanos FC based on current form and statistical projections.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Metropolitanos FC and Portuguesa FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Metropolitanos FC and Portuguesa FC attack and defence ratings
Metropolitanos FC
Portuguesa FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Metropolitanos FC vs Portuguesa FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metropolitanos FC | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metropolitanos FC | 61.4% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Portuguesa FC | 14.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.5% |
| No | 52.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Metropolitanos FC win | 37.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 38.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | |
| 1-1 | 11.5% |
Metropolitanos FC vs Portuguesa FC stats
Metropolitanos FC and Portuguesa FC recent form
| Metropolitanos FC |
DWWWWW |
| Portuguesa FC |
DDLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Metropolitanos FC and Portuguesa FC season so far
Metropolitanos FC record
- They have won 19 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portuguesa FC record
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Metropolitanos FC vs Portuguesa FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Portuguesa FC | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-08 | Metropolitanos FC | Portuguesa FC | Venezuela Primera División | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-28 | Metropolitanos FC | Portuguesa FC | Venezuela Primera División | 5-1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Portuguesa FC | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-13 | Metropolitanos FC | Portuguesa FC | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-20 | Portuguesa FC | Metropolitanos FC | Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2023-06-23 | Metropolitanos FC | Portuguesa FC | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2023-05-21 | Portuguesa FC | Metropolitanos FC | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2022-07-23 | Metropolitanos FC | Portuguesa FC | Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2022-05-01 | Portuguesa FC | Metropolitanos FC | Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.