Puerto Cabello
vs
Caracas FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Puerto Cabello
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.94.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC
| Probability | Puerto Cabello | Draw | Caracas FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.6% | 27.5% | 21.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.6% | 27.5% | 21.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Puerto Cabello
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.94.
Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC match preview
Puerto Cabello faces Caracas FC in the Venezuela Primera División with a probability model favoring Puerto Cabello at 52%, while Caracas FC stands at 21% and a draw at 27%. The expected goals suggest Puerto Cabello will score 1.59, compared to Caracas FC's 0.94. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 11% probability.
In their recent form, Puerto Cabello has recorded a series of results with D-W-W-D-L-D, while Caracas FC has shown a stronger performance with W-W-D-L-L-W. Historically, in their last four encounters, Puerto Cabello has secured 1 win, while 3 matches ended in draws, and Caracas FC has not won any. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Puerto Cabello and Caracas FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Puerto Cabello and Caracas FC attack and defence ratings
Puerto Cabello
Caracas FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puerto Cabello | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.4% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puerto Cabello | 51.6% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Caracas FC | 21.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Puerto Cabello win | 27.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 48.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 2-0 | 10.1% |
Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC stats
Puerto Cabello and Caracas FC recent form
| Puerto Cabello |
DWWDLD |
| Caracas FC |
WWDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Puerto Cabello and Caracas FC season so far
Puerto Cabello record
- They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Caracas FC record
- They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Puerto Cabello | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Caracas FC | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Puerto Cabello | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Caracas FC | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.