Venezuela Primera División · ·Clausura - Quadrangular - 3

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC

Garuda Lions Prediction: Puerto Cabello

2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Complejo Deportivo Socialista, Carabobo

Puerto Cabello 41%
Draw 25%
Deportivo Tachira FC 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Puerto Cabello wins
41%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
66%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPuerto CabelloDrawDeportivo Tachira FC
Model41.1%25.0%33.9%
Market———
Final41.1%25.0%33.9%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC match preview

Puerto Cabello faces Deportivo Tachira FC in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter. Puerto Cabello has a 41% chance of winning, while Deportivo Tachira FC stands at 34%, with a 25% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Puerto Cabello, with an expected goals tally of 1.74 for Puerto Cabello and 1.56 for Deportivo Tachira FC.

Both teams have shown similar recent form, with Puerto Cabello recording W-D-W-W-D-L and Deportivo Tachira FC at W-D-W-W-D-L. Historically, in their last 10 meetings, Deportivo Tachira FC has the upper hand with 5 wins compared to Puerto Cabello's 2 victories and 3 draws. The model indicates a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 66%.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Puerto Cabello ↓ / Deportivo Tach → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Puerto Cabello and Deportivo Tachira FC expected goals

Puerto Cabello 1.73
Deportivo Tachira FC 1.56

Total expected goals: 3.29

Puerto Cabello and Deportivo Tachira FC attack and defence ratings

Puerto Cabello

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Deportivo Tachira FC

Attack 1.60 +60%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 3 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Puerto Cabello 41.1% 2.43 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.0% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.1% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.9% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Puerto Cabello41.1%
Draw25.0%
Deportivo Tachira FC33.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.0%
Under 2.536.0%
Both teams to scoreYes66.1%
No33.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.1%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)58.9%
Handicap -1Puerto Cabello win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss58.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-18.7%
1-27.8%

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC stats

Puerto Cabello and Deportivo Tachira FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Puerto Cabello and Deportivo Tachira FC season so far

league record

Puerto Cabello record

  • They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Tachira FC record

  • They have won 18 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Puerto Cabello wins 3Draws 5Deportivo Tachira FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-15Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División1-1
2026-04-04Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División1-2
2025-09-21Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División0-0
2025-06-07Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División2-0
2025-05-03Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División1-2
2025-04-14Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División3-2
2024-08-29Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División0-0
2024-03-08Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloPrimera División0-1
2023-11-04Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloPrimera División2-1
2023-10-29Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo Tachira FC odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Puerto Cabello Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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