Deportivo Tachira FC
vs
Puerto Cabello
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Tachira FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.14.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello
| Probability | Deportivo Tachira FC | Draw | Puerto Cabello |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.7% | 24.1% | 21.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.7% | 24.1% | 21.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo Tachira FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello match preview
Deportivo Tachira FC enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 55%, while Puerto Cabello has a 21% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Deportivo Tachira FC, with an expected goals tally of 1.92 for them compared to 1.14 for Puerto Cabello. Both teams are also expected to score, with a 59% likelihood for each team finding the net.
In terms of recent form, Deportivo Tachira FC has recorded three wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Puerto Cabello has two wins, two draws, and one loss in the same period. Historically, Deportivo Tachira FC has had the upper hand in their last ten encounters, winning five times, drawing three, and losing twice to Puerto Cabello. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.06
Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Tachira FC
Puerto Cabello
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 54.7% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Puerto Cabello | 21.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Tachira FC win | 32.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 45.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.7% |
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello stats
Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello recent form
| WWDWWD | |
| LWDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello season so far
Deportivo Tachira FC record
- They have won 18 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puerto Cabello record
- They have won 14 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Puerto Cabello | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Puerto Cabello | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-14 | Puerto Cabello | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División | 3-2 |
| 2024-08-29 | Puerto Cabello | Deportivo Tachira FC | Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-08 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Puerto Cabello | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Puerto Cabello | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2023-10-29 | Puerto Cabello | Deportivo Tachira FC | Primera División | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.