Venezuela Primera División · ·Clausura - Quadrangular - 4

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello

Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Tachira FC

2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.14.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo

Deportivo Tachira FC 55%
Draw 24%
Puerto Cabello 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Deportivo Tachira FC wins
55%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
59%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo Tachira FCDrawPuerto Cabello
Model54.7%24.1%21.2%
Market———
Final54.7%24.1%21.2%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Tachira FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.14.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello match preview

Deportivo Tachira FC enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 55%, while Puerto Cabello has a 21% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Deportivo Tachira FC, with an expected goals tally of 1.92 for them compared to 1.14 for Puerto Cabello. Both teams are also expected to score, with a 59% likelihood for each team finding the net.

In terms of recent form, Deportivo Tachira FC has recorded three wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Puerto Cabello has two wins, two draws, and one loss in the same period. Historically, Deportivo Tachira FC has had the upper hand in their last ten encounters, winning five times, drawing three, and losing twice to Puerto Cabello. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Tach ↓ / Puerto Cabello → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 11% 6% 2 9% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello expected goals

Deportivo Tachira FC 1.93
Puerto Cabello 1.14

Total expected goals: 3.06

Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Tachira FC

Attack 1.60 +60%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Puerto Cabello

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 4 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Tachira FC 54.7% 1.83 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.1% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.1% 1.69 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.8% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.3% 2.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Tachira FC54.7%
Draw24.1%
Puerto Cabello21.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.1%
Under 2.540.9%
Both teams to scoreYes59.1%
No40.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.8%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)45.3%
Handicap -1Deportivo Tachira FC win32.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss45.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
2-19.9%
2-08.7%

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello stats

Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Tachira FC and Puerto Cabello season so far

league record

Deportivo Tachira FC record

  • They have won 18 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Puerto Cabello record

  • They have won 14 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Deportivo Tachira FC wins 3Draws 2Puerto Cabello wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-15Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División1-1
2026-04-04Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División1-2
2025-09-21Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División0-0
2025-06-07Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División2-0
2025-05-03Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División1-2
2025-04-14Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División3-2
2024-08-29Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División0-0
2024-03-08Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloPrimera División0-1
2023-11-04Deportivo Tachira FCPuerto CabelloPrimera División2-1
2023-10-29Puerto CabelloDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Deportivo Tachira FC Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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