Monagas SC
vs
Caracas FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Monagas SC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Monagas SC vs Caracas FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Monagas SC vs Caracas FC
| Probability | Monagas SC | Draw | Caracas FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.9% | 29.7% | 34.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.9% | 29.7% | 34.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Monagas SC vs Caracas FC match preview
Monagas SC faces Caracas FC in a closely contested matchup, with our model assigning probabilities of 36% for a Monagas SC win, 30% for a draw, and 34% for a Caracas FC victory. The expected goals for the match are 1.26 for Monagas SC and 1.23 for Caracas FC, indicating a tight encounter. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Monagas SC, with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, Monagas SC has recorded two losses, a draw, and two wins in their last five matches, while Caracas FC has three wins, a draw, and a loss in the same timeframe. Historically, the last ten encounters between these teams have been evenly matched, with Monagas SC winning three times, Caracas FC also winning three times, and four matches ending in draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Monagas SC and Caracas FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Monagas SC and Caracas FC attack and defence ratings
Monagas SC
Caracas FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Monagas SC vs Caracas FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Monagas SC | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Monagas SC | 35.9% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Caracas FC | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Monagas SC win | 16.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 64.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 9.2% |
Monagas SC vs Caracas FC stats
Monagas SC and Caracas FC recent form
| Monagas SC |
LLDWDW |
| Caracas FC |
WLWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Monagas SC and Caracas FC season so far
Monagas SC record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
Caracas FC record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Monagas SC vs Caracas FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Caracas FC | Monagas SC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Monagas SC | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Monagas SC | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-18 | Caracas FC | Monagas SC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-4 |
| 2024-09-20 | Caracas FC | Monagas SC | Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-24 | Monagas SC | Caracas FC | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2024-01-28 | Monagas SC | Caracas FC | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2023-06-24 | Caracas FC | Monagas SC | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2023-05-20 | Monagas SC | Caracas FC | Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2022-07-22 | Monagas SC | Caracas FC | Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.