Caracas FC
vs
Monagas SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Caracas FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Caracas FC vs Monagas SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Caracas FC vs Monagas SC
| Probability | Caracas FC | Draw | Monagas SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.8% | 28.0% | 31.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.8% | 28.0% | 31.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Caracas FC vs Monagas SC match preview
Caracas FC faces Monagas SC in the Venezuela Primera División, with the model indicating a 41% probability of a Caracas FC victory, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 31% likelihood of a Monagas SC win. The expected goals are 1.47 for Caracas FC and 1.25 for Monagas SC, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Caracas FC, with a 9% chance of occurring.
In terms of recent form, Caracas FC has recorded one win in their last six matches (L-W-W-D-L-L), while Monagas SC has shown stronger performance with three wins in their last six (L-D-W-D-W-W). The model also indicates a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance that both teams will score. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters shows an even split, with each team securing three wins and four matches ending in draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Caracas FC and Monagas SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
Caracas FC and Monagas SC attack and defence ratings
Caracas FC
Monagas SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Caracas FC vs Monagas SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caracas FC | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caracas FC | 40.8% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Monagas SC | 31.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Caracas FC win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 59.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Caracas FC vs Monagas SC stats
Caracas FC and Monagas SC recent form
| Caracas FC |
LWWDLL |
| Monagas SC |
LDWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Caracas FC and Monagas SC season so far
Caracas FC record
- They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Monagas SC record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
Caracas FC vs Monagas SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Caracas FC | Monagas SC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Monagas SC | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Monagas SC | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-18 | Caracas FC | Monagas SC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-4 |
| 2024-09-20 | Caracas FC | Monagas SC | Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-24 | Monagas SC | Caracas FC | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2024-01-28 | Monagas SC | Caracas FC | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2023-06-24 | Caracas FC | Monagas SC | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2023-05-20 | Monagas SC | Caracas FC | Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2022-07-22 | Monagas SC | Caracas FC | Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.