Deportivo Tachira FC
vs
Monagas SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Tachira FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.33.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC
| Probability | Deportivo Tachira FC | Draw | Monagas SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.2% | 20.8% | 20.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.2% | 20.8% | 20.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo Tachira FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.33.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC match preview
Deportivo Tachira FC holds a favorable position heading into their match against Monagas SC, with a 59% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals suggest a strong offensive display from Deportivo Tachira FC at 2.34, compared to Monagas SC's 1.33. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1, with a 9% likelihood, indicating a competitive match.
Both teams have shown recent form that includes several draws and wins, with Deportivo Tachira FC's latest results being D-W-W-D-L-W and Monagas SC at D-W-D-W-W-L. The model predicts a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams scoring at 67%, which could lead to an exciting encounter. In their last four head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Tachira FC has won all four matches against Monagas SC.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Tachira FC and Monagas SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.67
Deportivo Tachira FC and Monagas SC attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 59.2% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| Monagas SC | 20.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.2% |
| No | 32.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Tachira FC win | 38.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 40.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 8.7% | |
| 3-1 | 7.2% |
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC stats
Deportivo Tachira FC and Monagas SC recent form
| Deportivo Tachira FC |
DWWDLW |
| Monagas SC |
DWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Tachira FC and Monagas SC season so far
Deportivo Tachira FC record
- They have won 17 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Monagas SC record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Monagas SC | Venezuela Primera División | 3-2 |
| 2026-02-22 | Monagas SC | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División | 2-3 |
| 2025-07-13 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Monagas SC | Venezuela Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-01-31 | Monagas SC | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.