Caracas FC
vs
Deportivo Tachira FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Tachira FC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Deportivo Tachira FC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC
| Probability | Caracas FC | Draw | Deportivo Tachira FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.2% | 25.1% | 43.7% |
| Market | 31.0% | 27.3% | 41.7% |
| Final | 31.1% | 26.7% | 42.2% |
| Edge | +0.0% | -0.5% | +0.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.3% per unit staked (our 42.2% × 2.22 − 1).
Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC match preview
Caracas FC faces Deportivo Tachira FC in an upcoming Venezuela Primera División match. The model gives Caracas FC a 31% chance of winning, while Deportivo Tachira FC has a 44% probability of victory, with a 25% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Caracas FC is 1.47, compared to 1.76 for Deportivo Tachira FC. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%.
In terms of recent form, Caracas FC has recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Deportivo Tachira FC has three wins, two draws, and one loss in the same period. The model indicates a strong possibility of over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 65%. Historically, in their last 10 encounters, Caracas FC has won once, with Deportivo Tachira FC winning four times and five matches ending in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Caracas FC and Deportivo Tachira FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.23
Caracas FC and Deportivo Tachira FC attack and defence ratings
Caracas FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 42.2% | 2.37 | +0.5% | 2.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caracas FC | 31.1% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Deportivo Tachira FC | 42.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% |
| No | 35.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Tachira FC win | 23.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 56.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC stats
Caracas FC and Deportivo Tachira FC recent form
| Caracas FC |
WWDLLW |
| Deportivo Tachira FC |
DWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Caracas FC and Deportivo Tachira FC season so far
Caracas FC record
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Tachira FC record
- They have won 17 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Caracas FC | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Caracas FC | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-02 | Caracas FC | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-12 | Caracas FC | Deportivo Tachira FC | Primera División | 0-4 |
| 2024-10-29 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Caracas FC | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-21 | Deportivo Tachira FC | Caracas FC | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-03 | Caracas FC | Deportivo Tachira FC | Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Caracas FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.0%, draw 27.3%, away 41.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.98 | 3.22 | 2.16 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.30 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.22 |
| Marathonbet | 2.90 | 3.22 | 2.14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.90 | 3.42 | 2.20 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .