Portuguesa FC
vs
Carabobo FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Carabobo FC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Carabobo FC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC
| Probability | Portuguesa FC | Draw | Carabobo FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 34.7% | 33.1% |
| Market | 26.7% | 28.4% | 44.9% |
| Final | 28.1% | 30.0% | 42.0% |
| Edge | +1.4% | +1.6% | -3.0% |
Why Carabobo FC
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.0% per unit staked (our 42.0% × 2.05 − 1).
Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC match preview
Portuguesa FC faces Carabobo FC in the Venezuela Primera División, with kickoff scheduled for October 25, 2026. According to our model, Portuguesa FC has a 28% probability of winning, while the likelihood of a draw is 30% and Carabobo FC stands at 42%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%. Expected goals are close, with Portuguesa FC at 0.93 and Carabobo FC at 0.95.
In terms of recent form, Portuguesa FC has recorded two draws, one loss, and two wins in their last five matches, while Carabobo FC has achieved three wins and two draws in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record shows Portuguesa FC with one win and three draws against Carabobo FC, who have yet to secure a victory in their last four encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Portuguesa FC and Carabobo FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.88
Portuguesa FC and Carabobo FC attack and defence ratings
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carabobo FC | 42.0% | 2.38 | -3.0% | 2.05 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portuguesa FC | 28.1% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Carabobo FC | 42.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.5% |
| No | 61.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Carabobo FC win | 12.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 66.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.6% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 0-1 | 13.1% |
Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC stats
Portuguesa FC and Carabobo FC recent form
| Portuguesa FC |
DDLWWD |
| Carabobo FC |
DWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portuguesa FC and Carabobo FC season so far
Portuguesa FC record
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Carabobo FC record
- They have won 14 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Portuguesa FC | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Carabobo FC | Portuguesa FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Portuguesa FC | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-02 | Carabobo FC | Portuguesa FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.7%, draw 28.4%, away 44.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.50 | 3.14 | 1.98 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.60 | 3.25 | 2.03 |
| Marathonbet | 3.40 | 3.14 | 1.96 |
| Pinnacle | 3.57 | 3.16 | 2.02 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .