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Venezuela Primera División · ·Clausura - Quadrangular - 2

Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira

Garuda Lions Prediction: Carabobo FC

1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.86.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bet on Carabobo FC

Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, Valencia

Carabobo FC 58%
Draw 25%
Deportivo La Guaira 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Carabobo FC wins
58%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
49%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCarabobo FCDrawDeportivo La Guaira
Model57.6%25.4%17.0%
Market———
Final57.6%25.4%17.0%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Carabobo FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.86.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira match preview

Carabobo FC enters this match with a strong probability of 58% to win, reflecting their recent form of three wins and two draws in the last six matches. Their expected goals stand at 1.76, indicating a solid offensive performance, while Deportivo La Guaira has struggled recently, managing only one win in their last six games and an expected goals figure of 0.86.

The head-to-head record favors Carabobo FC, with three wins and six draws out of the last ten encounters against Deportivo La Guaira, who have only one win in that span. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with both teams having a 49% chance of scoring and a 49% likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Carabobo FC ↓ / Deportivo La G → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 12% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Carabobo FC and Deportivo La Guaira expected goals

Carabobo FC 1.76
Deportivo La Guaira 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.63

Carabobo FC and Deportivo La Guaira attack and defence ratings

Carabobo FC

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Deportivo La Guaira

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 2 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Carabobo FC 57.6% 1.74 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.1% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score No 51.0% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.0% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.4% 2.36 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Carabobo FC57.6%
Draw25.4%
Deportivo La Guaira17.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.9%
Under 2.551.1%
Both teams to scoreYes49.0%
No51.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.0%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)42.4%
Handicap -1Carabobo FC win33.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss42.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
1-011.6%
2-011.2%
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Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira stats

Carabobo FC and Deportivo La Guaira recent form

newest first
Carabobo FC DWDWWW
Deportivo La Guaira LDLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Carabobo FC and Deportivo La Guaira season so far

league record

Carabobo FC record

  • They have won 14 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 15 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).

Deportivo La Guaira record

  • They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Carabobo FC wins 6Draws 1Deportivo La Guaira wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-15Carabobo FCDeportivo La GuairaVenezuela Primera División1-0
2026-04-02Deportivo La GuairaCarabobo FCVenezuela Primera División1-1
2025-09-28Carabobo FCDeportivo La GuairaVenezuela Primera División0-0
2025-04-17Deportivo La GuairaCarabobo FCVenezuela Primera División0-0
2024-11-10Carabobo FCDeportivo La GuairaPrimera División1-1
2024-11-03Deportivo La GuairaCarabobo FCPrimera División0-1
2024-09-15Carabobo FCDeportivo La GuairaPrimera División3-1
2024-03-19Deportivo La GuairaCarabobo FCPrimera División0-0
2024-01-27Deportivo La GuairaCarabobo FCFriendlies Clubs4-1
2023-07-15Deportivo La GuairaCarabobo FCPrimera División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

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Prediction snapshot 1 Carabobo FC Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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