Konkola Blades
vs
Nkana
Garuda Lions Prediction: Konkola Blades
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Konkola Blades vs Nkana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Konkola Blades vs Nkana
| Probability | Konkola Blades | Draw | Nkana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.9% | 28.9% | 28.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.9% | 28.9% | 28.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Konkola Blades
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Konkola Blades vs Nkana match preview
Konkola Blades are set to face Nkana in the Zambia Super League, with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Konkola Blades have a 43% probability of winning, while Nkana has a 28% chance, and a draw stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Konkola Blades, with an expected goals tally of 1.43 for them compared to 1.11 for Nkana.
In terms of recent form, Konkola Blades have recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins and one draw in their last five matches, while Nkana has secured three wins but also faced two losses in the same period. Historically, in their last two encounters, Konkola Blades have not managed a win against Nkana, who have one victory and one draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Konkola Blades and Nkana expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Konkola Blades and Nkana attack and defence ratings
Konkola Blades
Nkana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Mufulira Wanderers v Chirundu Utd — match page
- NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers — team news & stats
- Nkwazi vs Green Eagles
- ZESCO United v Mutondo Stars — match page
- Zanaco vs Kansanshi Dynamos — team news & stats
- Roan United v Red Arrows — match page
Before and after this match
Konkola Blades vs Nkana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konkola Blades | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konkola Blades | 42.9% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Nkana | 28.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.3% |
| No | 47.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Konkola Blades win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 57.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.0% | |
| 0-0 | 9.2% |
Konkola Blades vs Nkana stats
Konkola Blades and Nkana recent form
| Konkola Blades |
LWWWDW |
| Nkana |
WWDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Konkola Blades vs Nkana head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Nkana | Konkola Blades | Zambia Super League | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Konkola Blades | Nkana | Zambia Super League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.