Anorthosis
vs
Omonia Nicosia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Omonia Nicosia
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.30.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Omonia Nicosia is the favourite, not a value bet.
Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia
| Probability | Anorthosis | Draw | Omonia Nicosia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.7% | 26.7% | 43.6% |
| Market | 16.4% | 22.1% | 61.5% |
| Final | 19.7% | 23.2% | 57.1% |
| Edge | +3.3% | +1.1% | -4.5% |
Why Omonia Nicosia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.30.
Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.6% per unit staked (our 57.1% × 1.55 − 1).
Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia match preview
Anorthosis faces Omonia Nicosia in the Cyprus 1. Division on November 8, 2026. According to our model, Omonia Nicosia holds a 47% probability of winning, while Anorthosis stands at 26%, with a draw at 27%. The expected goals for Anorthosis is 1.13, compared to Omonia Nicosia's 1.60. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Anorthosis has recorded a sequence of W-L-L-L-W-L, while Omonia Nicosia has fared slightly better with W-L-L-D-W-W. Both teams are expected to score, with a 55% probability for both teams to find the net, and there is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Anorthosis and Omonia Nicosia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Anorthosis and Omonia Nicosia attack and defence ratings
Anorthosis
Omonia Nicosia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia Nicosia | 57.1% | 1.75 | -4.5% | 1.55 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anorthosis | 19.7% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Omonia Nicosia | 57.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% |
| No | 40.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Omonia Nicosia win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 56.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 7.6% |
Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia stats
Anorthosis and Omonia Nicosia recent form
| Anorthosis |
LWLLLW |
| Omonia Nicosia |
LWLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Anorthosis and Omonia Nicosia season so far
Anorthosis record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Omonia Nicosia record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Omonia Nicosia | Anorthosis | Cyprus 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Anorthosis | Omonia Nicosia | Cyprus 1. Division | 0-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Anorthosis vs Omonia Nicosia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.4%, draw 22.1%, away 61.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.82 | 4.15 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 5.80 | 4.10 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.47 |
| Dafabet | 5.60 | 4.30 | 1.49 |
| Marathonbet | 5.75 | 4.15 | 1.49 |
| Pinnacle | 5.37 | 4.17 | 1.55 |
| SBO | 5.32 | 3.91 | 1.38 |
| William Hill | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .