Aris
vs
Anorthosis
Garuda Lions Prediction: Aris
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.20.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Aris vs Anorthosis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aris vs Anorthosis
| Probability | Aris | Draw | Anorthosis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.8% | 26.6% | 26.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.8% | 26.6% | 26.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Aris
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Aris vs Anorthosis match preview
Aris faces Anorthosis in a Cyprus 1. Division match with kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Aris has a 41% probability of winning, while Anorthosis stands at 31%, and a draw is estimated at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Aris, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 56%, and there is a 51% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Aris has recorded a D-W-D-W-L-D streak, while Anorthosis has fluctuated with W-L-L-L-W-L results. Expected goals are calculated at 1.46 for Aris and 1.24 for Anorthosis. Historically, in their last two encounters, Aris has not secured a win, with one draw and one victory for Anorthosis. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aris and Anorthosis expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Aris and Anorthosis attack and defence ratings
Aris
Anorthosis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aris vs Anorthosis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aris | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aris | 46.8% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Anorthosis | 26.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% |
| No | 42.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aris win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 53.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.4% |
Aris vs Anorthosis stats
Aris and Anorthosis recent form
| Aris |
WDWDWL |
| Anorthosis |
WLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aris and Anorthosis season so far
Aris record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Anorthosis record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aris vs Anorthosis head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Aris | Anorthosis | Cyprus 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Anorthosis | Aris | Cyprus 1. Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.