Omonia Nicosia
vs
AEL
Garuda Lions Prediction: Omonia Nicosia
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.17.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Omonia Nicosia vs AEL overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Omonia Nicosia vs AEL
| Probability | Omonia Nicosia | Draw | AEL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.5% | 25.1% | 23.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.5% | 25.1% | 23.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Omonia Nicosia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.17.
Omonia Nicosia vs AEL match preview
Omonia Nicosia is set to face AEL in the Cyprus 1. Division, with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Omonia Nicosia has a 51% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 25% and AEL at 23%. The expected goals for Omonia Nicosia is 1.82, compared to AEL's 1.17, indicating a stronger offensive outlook for the home side. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Omonia Nicosia.
In terms of recent form, Omonia Nicosia has recorded a sequence of results with their last five matches showing L-D-W-W-W-W, while AEL has a mixed record of W-W-W-W-L-W. The head-to-head statistics favor Omonia Nicosia, who have won both of their last encounters against AEL. Additionally, there is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Omonia Nicosia and AEL expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Omonia Nicosia and AEL attack and defence ratings
Omonia Nicosia
AEL
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Omonia Nicosia vs AEL markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia Nicosia | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia Nicosia | 51.5% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| AEL | 23.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% |
| No | 41.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Omonia Nicosia win | 29.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 48.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.3% |
Omonia Nicosia vs AEL stats
Omonia Nicosia and AEL recent form
| Omonia Nicosia |
LDWWWW |
| AEL |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Omonia Nicosia and AEL season so far
Omonia Nicosia record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
AEL record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Omonia Nicosia vs AEL head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | AEL | Omonia Nicosia | Cyprus 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-22 | Omonia Nicosia | AEL | Cyprus 1. Division | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.