Krasava Ypsonas
vs
AEK Larnaca
Garuda Lions Prediction: AEK Larnaca
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.10.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca
| Probability | Krasava Ypsonas | Draw | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.2% | 25.5% | 52.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.2% | 25.5% | 52.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why AEK Larnaca
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca match preview
Krasava Ypsonas faces AEK Larnaca in a match where the probabilities indicate a strong advantage for the visitors, with AEK Larnaca holding a 57% chance of winning compared to Krasava Ypsonas' 19%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. Both teams are expected to contribute to the scoreline, as the model suggests a 58% chance for both teams to score and a 59% likelihood of over 2.5 goals.
Recent form shows Krasava Ypsonas struggling with six consecutive losses, while AEK Larnaca has found more stability with two wins in their last three matches. The expected goals for this fixture are 1.09 for Krasava Ypsonas and 1.99 for AEK Larnaca, reflecting the disparity in offensive output between the two sides.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Krasava Ypsonas and AEK Larnaca expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Krasava Ypsonas and AEK Larnaca attack and defence ratings
Krasava Ypsonas
AEK Larnaca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Larnaca | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Krasava Ypsonas | 22.2% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| AEK Larnaca | 52.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% |
| No | 43.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | AEK Larnaca win | 29.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 47.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.9% |
Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca stats
Krasava Ypsonas and AEK Larnaca recent form
| Krasava Ypsonas |
DWLLLL |
| AEK Larnaca |
DWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Krasava Ypsonas and AEK Larnaca season so far
Krasava Ypsonas record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
AEK Larnaca record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | AEK Larnaca | Krasava Ypsonas | Cyprus 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Krasava Ypsonas | AEK Larnaca | Cyprus 1. Division | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.