Omonia Aradippou
vs
Apoel Nicosia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Apoel Nicosia
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 1.06.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia
| Probability | Omonia Aradippou | Draw | Apoel Nicosia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.5% | 28.9% | 44.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.5% | 28.9% | 44.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Apoel Nicosia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia match preview
Omonia Aradippou faces Apoel Nicosia in a Cyprus 1. Division match with kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Omonia Aradippou has a 26% chance of winning, while Apoel Nicosia is favored at 45%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with an 11% probability. Omonia's recent form shows three losses followed by two draws and one win, while Apoel has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches.
The expected goals for Omonia Aradippou stand at 1.06, compared to Apoel Nicosia's 1.44. There is a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams scoring has a likelihood of 51%. In their last two encounters, Omonia has yet to secure a win against Apoel, who has one victory and one draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Omonia Aradippou and Apoel Nicosia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Omonia Aradippou and Apoel Nicosia attack and defence ratings
Omonia Aradippou
Apoel Nicosia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apoel Nicosia | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia Aradippou | 26.5% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Apoel Nicosia | 44.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% |
| No | 48.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Apoel Nicosia win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 55.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 10.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.4% |
Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia stats
Omonia Aradippou and Apoel Nicosia recent form
| Omonia Aradippou |
LLLDDW |
| Apoel Nicosia |
WDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Omonia Aradippou and Apoel Nicosia season so far
Omonia Aradippou record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Apoel Nicosia record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | Apoel Nicosia | Omonia Aradippou | Cyprus 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-03 | Omonia Aradippou | Apoel Nicosia | Cyprus 1. Division | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.