Apoel Nicosia
vs
Omonia 29is Maiou
Garuda Lions Prediction: Apoel Nicosia
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Apoel Nicosia is the favourite, not a value bet.
Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou
| Probability | Apoel Nicosia | Draw | Omonia 29is Maiou |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.2% | 26.0% | 35.8% |
| Market | 73.3% | 16.9% | 9.8% |
| Final | 64.5% | 19.2% | 16.3% |
| Edge | -8.8% | +2.3% | +6.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.28, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -17.4% per unit staked (our 64.5% × 1.28 − 1).
Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou match preview
Apoel Nicosia faces Omonia 29is Maiou in a Cyprus 1. Division match with kickoff scheduled for October 25, 2026. According to our model, Apoel Nicosia has a 42% probability of winning, while Omonia 29is Maiou stands at 35% and the draw at 23%. The expected goals for Apoel Nicosia is 1.94, compared to Omonia's 1.76, suggesting a competitive matchup.
Recent form shows Apoel Nicosia with two wins, a draw, and three losses in their last six matches, while Omonia 29is Maiou has one win, two draws, and three losses in the same timeframe. Our model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Apoel Nicosia, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Apoel Nicosia and Omonia 29is Maiou expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Apoel Nicosia and Omonia 29is Maiou attack and defence ratings
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia 29is Maiou
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apoel Nicosia | 64.5% | 1.55 | -8.8% | 1.28 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Apoel Nicosia | 64.5% |
| Draw | 19.2% | |
| Omonia 29is Maiou | 16.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.2% |
| No | 36.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Apoel Nicosia win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 61.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou stats
Apoel Nicosia and Omonia 29is Maiou recent form
| Apoel Nicosia |
DWDLWL |
| Omonia 29is Maiou |
WLLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Apoel Nicosia and Omonia 29is Maiou season so far
Apoel Nicosia record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Omonia 29is Maiou record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-16 | Apoel Nicosia | Omonia 29is Maiou | Cup | 6-1 |
| 2025-01-12 | Apoel Nicosia | Omonia 29is Maiou | 1. Division | 4-0 |
| 2024-09-29 | Omonia 29is Maiou | Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 73.3%, draw 16.9%, away 9.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 5.35 | 10.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.27 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.75 | 10.50 |
| Betano | 1.28 | 5.50 | 9.25 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.28 | 5.80 | 8.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 5.35 | 10.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25 | 5.71 | 9.20 |
| SBO | 1.25 | 4.94 | 7.14 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .