Omonia 29is Maiou
vs
Nea Salamis
Garuda Lions Prediction: Omonia 29is Maiou
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.85.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis
| Probability | Omonia 29is Maiou | Draw | Nea Salamis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.9% | 21.0% | 30.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.9% | 21.0% | 30.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Omonia 29is Maiou
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.85.
Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis match preview
Omonia 29is Maiou hosts Nea Salamis in a Cyprus 1. Division clash with a predicted win probability of 58% for the home side, while Nea Salamis stands at 22%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. Omonia's expected goals are 2.47 compared to Nea Salamis's 1.53, indicating a stronger offensive output from the home team.
Recent form shows Omonia 29is Maiou with a mixed record of W-L-L-D-D-W, while Nea Salamis has struggled, recording L-L-W-L-L-D. There is a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 76%, and both teams scoring is expected at 72%. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Omonia 29is Maiou and Nea Salamis expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.19
Omonia 29is Maiou and Nea Salamis attack and defence ratings
Omonia 29is Maiou
Nea Salamis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 48.9% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| Nea Salamis | 30.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.8% |
| No | 23.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Omonia 29is Maiou win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 51.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.7% |
| 1-1 | 7.2% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Omonia 29is Maiou vs Nea Salamis stats
Omonia 29is Maiou and Nea Salamis recent form
| Omonia 29is Maiou |
LWLLDD |
| Nea Salamis |
LLWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Omonia 29is Maiou and Nea Salamis season so far
Omonia 29is Maiou record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Nea Salamis record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.