Pafos
vs
Omonia 29is Maiou
Garuda Lions Prediction: Pafos
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Pafos is the favourite, not a value bet.
Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou
| Probability | Pafos | Draw | Omonia 29is Maiou |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.4% | 27.4% | 31.2% |
| Market | 79.1% | 13.9% | 7.0% |
| Final | 69.6% | 17.3% | 13.0% |
| Edge | -9.4% | +3.4% | +6.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.18, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -17.8% per unit staked (our 69.6% × 1.18 − 1).
Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou match preview
Pafos enters the match against Omonia 29is Maiou with a probability of 70% for a win, while the visitors have a 13% chance of securing victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Pafos, with a 9% likelihood. Pafos has struggled recently, recording a series of draws and losses, while Omonia 29is Maiou has shown some resilience with a win in their last six matches.
In terms of expected goals, Pafos is forecasted to score 1.52, compared to Omonia 29is Maiou's 1.29. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and a 58% probability that both teams will find the net. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pafos and Omonia 29is Maiou expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Pafos and Omonia 29is Maiou attack and defence ratings
Pafos
Omonia 29is Maiou
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pafos | 69.6% | 1.44 | -9.4% | 1.18 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pafos | 69.6% |
| Draw | 17.3% | |
| Omonia 29is Maiou | 13.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% |
| No | 42.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pafos win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 8.0% |
Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou stats
Pafos and Omonia 29is Maiou recent form
| Pafos |
LDDDDL |
| Omonia 29is Maiou |
WLWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pafos and Omonia 29is Maiou season so far
Pafos record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Omonia 29is Maiou record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 79.1%, draw 13.9%, away 7.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.15 | 6.55 | 16.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.18 | 6.90 | 13.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.16 | 7.20 | 13.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 6.55 | 16.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17 | 7.32 | 13.08 |
| SBO | 1.13 | 5.99 | 9.26 |
| William Hill | 1.15 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .