Karmiotissa
vs
Olympiakos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Olympiakos
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.17.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos
| Probability | Karmiotissa | Draw | Olympiakos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.6% | 27.5% | 44.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.6% | 27.5% | 44.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Olympiakos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.17.
Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos match preview
Karmiotissa faces Olympiakos in the Cyprus 1. Division, with kickoff scheduled for October 30, 2026. According to our model, Karmiotissa has a 27% chance of winning, while Olympiakos is favored at 46%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 57%, and there is a 54% chance that the match will feature over 2.5 goals.
Recent form shows Karmiotissa struggling with five games without a win, recording three draws and two losses. Olympiakos has also been unable to secure a victory lately, with six consecutive matches resulting in four draws and two losses. Expected goals for Karmiotissa stand at 1.20, while Olympiakos is projected at 1.62, indicating a competitive match ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Karmiotissa and Olympiakos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Karmiotissa and Olympiakos attack and defence ratings
Karmiotissa
Olympiakos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympiakos | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karmiotissa | 27.6% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Olympiakos | 44.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% |
| No | 44.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Olympiakos win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 9.0% |
Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos stats
Karmiotissa and Olympiakos recent form
| Karmiotissa |
LLDDDL |
| Olympiakos |
DDLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Karmiotissa and Olympiakos season so far
Karmiotissa record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Olympiakos record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.