St Ouen l'Aumône
vs
Boulogne
Garuda Lions Prediction: Boulogne
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
St Ouen l'Aumône vs Boulogne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: St Ouen l'Aumône vs Boulogne
| Probability | St Ouen l'Aumône | Draw | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.2% | 32.4% | 40.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.2% | 32.4% | 40.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
St Ouen l'Aumône vs Boulogne match preview
St Ouen l'Aumône faces Boulogne in the Coupe de France, with the probabilities indicating a competitive match. According to our model, St Ouen l'Aumône has a 27% chance of winning, while Boulogne is favored at 40%, and a draw stands at 32%. The most likely scoreline projected is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%.
In terms of expected goals, St Ouen l'Aumône is estimated to score 0.91, whereas Boulogne is forecasted to net 1.17. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 35%, and both teams scoring is predicted at 43%. Boulogne's recent form shows a mixed record with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
St Ouen l'Aumône and Boulogne expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.08
St Ouen l'Aumône and Boulogne attack and defence ratings
St Ouen l'Aumône
Boulogne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
St Ouen l'Aumône vs Boulogne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boulogne | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St Ouen l'Aumône | 27.2% |
| Draw | 32.4% | |
| Boulogne | 40.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.6% |
| No | 57.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Boulogne win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 13.8% | |
| 0-1 | 13.2% |
St Ouen l'Aumône vs Boulogne stats
St Ouen l'Aumône and Boulogne recent form
| St Ouen l'Aumône | no matches on record |
| Boulogne |
LDWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.