Iraklis 1908
vs
Panathinaikos
Garuda Lions Prediction: Panathinaikos
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.81.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Panathinaikos is the favourite, not a value bet.
Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos
| Probability | Iraklis 1908 | Draw | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.5% | 26.1% | 57.3% |
| Market | 11.7% | 19.7% | 68.7% |
| Final | 12.9% | 21.3% | 65.8% |
| Edge | +1.2% | +1.6% | -2.8% |
Why Panathinaikos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.39, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.5% per unit staked (our 65.8% × 1.39 − 1).
Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos match preview
Iraklis 1908 faces Panathinaikos in a Super League 1 matchup, with the probabilities indicating a strong advantage for the visitors. According to our model, Iraklis 1908 has a 14% chance of winning, while Panathinaikos is favored at 63%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a probability of 12%. Expected goals suggest Iraklis 1908 will score 0.87, compared to Panathinaikos's 1.75.
Recent form shows Iraklis 1908 with two losses and a win in their last five matches, while Panathinaikos has been in excellent form, winning four of their last five games. Both teams have a 49% chance of scoring, and there is also a 49% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Iraklis 1908 and Panathinaikos expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Iraklis 1908 and Panathinaikos attack and defence ratings
Iraklis 1908
Panathinaikos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panathinaikos | 65.8% | 1.52 | -2.8% | 1.39 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Iraklis 1908 | 12.9% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| Panathinaikos | 65.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.4% |
| No | 53.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panathinaikos win | 32.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 42.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-1 | 12.3% | |
| 0-2 | 11.7% |
Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos stats
Iraklis 1908 and Panathinaikos recent form
| Iraklis 1908 |
DLLWDD |
| Panathinaikos |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Iraklis 1908 and Panathinaikos season so far
Iraklis 1908 record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Panathinaikos record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.7%, draw 19.7%, away 68.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.15 | 4.70 | 1.36 |
| Bet365 | 8.00 | 4.75 | 1.36 |
| BetVictor | 8.00 | 4.60 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 7.80 | 4.90 | 1.39 |
| Betfair | 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.36 |
| Dafabet | 8.20 | 5.00 | 1.37 |
| Marathonbet | 8.20 | 4.70 | 1.35 |
| Pinnacle | 8.38 | 5.06 | 1.34 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 4.60 | 1.36 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
28 snapshots recorded, from .