Kalamata
vs
Iraklis 1908
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kalamata
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.26.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Kalamata is the favourite, not a value bet.
Kalamata vs Iraklis 1908 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kalamata vs Iraklis 1908
| Probability | Kalamata | Draw | Iraklis 1908 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.0% | 25.6% | 26.4% |
| Market | 41.4% | 29.6% | 29.0% |
| Final | 43.1% | 28.6% | 28.4% |
| Edge | +1.7% | -1.0% | -0.7% |
Why Kalamata
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.26.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.0% per unit staked (our 43.1% × 2.30 − 1).
Kalamata vs Iraklis 1908 match preview
Kalamata faces Iraklis 1908 in a Super League 1 matchup, with the home side holding a 43% probability of winning, while both teams share a 29% chance for a draw or an away victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Kalamata, with an expected goals tally of 1.71 for Kalamata and 1.37 for Iraklis 1908.
In terms of recent form, Kalamata has recorded a mixed set of results with one win in their last five matches, while Iraklis 1908 has secured two wins in their last five games. Both teams have shown potential for scoring, with a 60% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 62% likelihood that both teams will find the net. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kalamata and Iraklis 1908 expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
Kalamata and Iraklis 1908 attack and defence ratings
Kalamata
Iraklis 1908
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kalamata vs Iraklis 1908 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalamata | 43.1% | 2.32 | +1.7% | 2.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalamata | 43.1% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Iraklis 1908 | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% |
| No | 39.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kalamata win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 52.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.5% |
Kalamata vs Iraklis 1908 stats
Kalamata and Iraklis 1908 recent form
| Kalamata |
WLWWLD |
| Iraklis 1908 |
LLWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kalamata and Iraklis 1908 season so far
Kalamata record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Iraklis 1908 record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Kalamata vs Iraklis 1908 head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Kalamata | Iraklis 1908 | Super League 2 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kalamata vs Iraklis 1908 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 29.6%, away 29.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 3.15 | 3.21 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.26 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.15 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.14 | 3.39 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.01 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .