Super League 1 Β· Β·Matchday 9

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Garuda Lions Prediction: Olympiakos Piraeus

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 14% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.76.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Olympiakos Piraeus is the favourite, not a value bet.

Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, Athens

Kifisia 14%
Draw 23%
Olympiakos Piraeus 63%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Olympiakos Piraeus wins
63%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
89%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
44%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
14% of simulated outcomes

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKifisiaDrawOlympiakos Piraeus
Model16.7%27.4%56.0%
Market12.5%21.7%65.8%
Final13.5%23.1%63.4%
Edge+1.1%+1.4%-2.5%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why Olympiakos Piraeus

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.76.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.1% per unit staked (our 63.4% Γ— 1.45 βˆ’ 1).

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus match preview

Kifisia faces Olympiakos Piraeus in a Super League 1 match on October 31, 2026. Kifisia's recent form shows a mix of results with two wins, a draw, and two losses, while Olympiakos Piraeus comes into the match with an impressive six consecutive wins. According to our model, Kifisia has a 15% chance of winning, while Olympiakos Piraeus stands at 61%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with expected goals of 0.82 for Kifisia and 1.27 for Olympiakos Piraeus.

Historically, Kifisia has struggled against Olympiakos Piraeus, with no wins in their last two encounters, including one draw and one loss. The probabilities indicate a 24% chance of a draw, while both teams to score is projected at 42%. Overall, the confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kifisia ↓ / Olympiakos Pir β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 14% 12% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Kifisia and Olympiakos Piraeus expected goals

Kifisia 0.76
Olympiakos Piraeus 1.59

Total expected goals: 2.35

Kifisia and Olympiakos Piraeus attack and defence ratings

Kifisia

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Olympiakos Piraeus

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.45 -55%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Super League 1

Before and after this match

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Olympiakos Piraeus 63.4% 1.58 -2.5% 1.45
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.2% 1.72 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 56.4% 1.77 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 86.5% 1.16 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 44.0% 2.27 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kifisia13.5%
Draw23.1%
Olympiakos Piraeus63.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.8%
Under 2.558.2%
Both teams to scoreYes43.6%
No56.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)36.6%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)86.5%
Handicap -1Olympiakos Piraeus win30.8%
Push (exactly one goal)25.2%
Loss44.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-114.0%
1-112.7%
0-212.0%

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus stats

Kifisia and Olympiakos Piraeus recent form

newest first
Kifisia WLWWLD
Olympiakos Piraeus WWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kifisia and Olympiakos Piraeus season so far

league record

Kifisia record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Olympiakos Piraeus record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Kifisia wins 1Draws 1Olympiakos Piraeus wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-20Olympiakos PiraeusKifisiaSuper League 11-1
2025-11-09KifisiaOlympiakos PiraeusSuper League 11-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 12.5%, draw 21.7%, away 65.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 7.50 4.30 1.42
Bet365 7.50 4.10 1.42
Betano 8.00 4.25 1.45
Betfair 7.50 4.33 1.40
Marathonbet 7.50 4.30 1.41
Pinnacle 7.56 4.40 1.42
William Hill 7.00 4.00 1.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 7.50 β–Ό -0.15
X 4.30 β–² +0.02
2 1.42 β–² +0.02

5 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Olympiakos Piraeus Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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