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Super League 1 · ·Matchday 9

Atromitos vs Volos NFC

Garuda Lions Prediction: Atromitos

2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 0.98.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Bet on Atromitos

Peristeri Stadium, Athens

Atromitos 54%
Draw 25%
Volos NFC 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Atromitos wins
54%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
57%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
10% of simulated outcomes

Atromitos vs Volos NFC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atromitos vs Volos NFC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtromitosDrawVolos NFC
Model64.9%20.7%14.4%
Market50.6%26.4%23.0%
Final54.2%25.0%20.8%
Edge+3.6%-1.4%-2.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Atromitos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 0.98.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Atromitos below our published probability: +3.6 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 1.90, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.0% per unit staked (our 54.2% × 1.90 − 1).

Atromitos vs Volos NFC match preview

Atromitos will host Volos NFC in a Super League 1 match on November 2, 2026. According to our model, Atromitos has a 54% chance of winning, while Volos NFC stands at 21%. The expected goals suggest a strong performance from Atromitos with 2.24 expected goals compared to Volos NFC's 0.98. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, with a 10% probability.

Both teams have struggled recently, with Atromitos recording one win in their last six matches and Volos NFC failing to secure a victory in their last six outings. In their last ten encounters, Atromitos has the upper hand with five wins compared to Volos NFC's two. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 63%, while both teams scoring is projected at 57%.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atromitos ↓ / Volos NFC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 10% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 7% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Atromitos and Volos NFC expected goals

Atromitos 2.24
Volos NFC 0.98

Total expected goals: 3.23

Atromitos and Volos NFC attack and defence ratings

Atromitos

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Volos NFC

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Super League 1

Before and after this match

Atromitos vs Volos NFC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atromitos 54.2% 1.84 +3.6% 1.90
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.5% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.8% 1.76 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.2% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Atromitos win 42.7% 2.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atromitos54.2%
Draw25.0%
Volos NFC20.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.5%
Under 2.537.5%
Both teams to scoreYes56.8%
No43.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.2%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)45.8%
Handicap -1Atromitos win42.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss35.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.0%
2-19.8%
1-19.6%
Compare prices for this pick

Atromitos vs Volos NFC stats

Atromitos and Volos NFC recent form

newest first
Atromitos WLLLLD
Volos NFC LLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atromitos and Volos NFC season so far

league record

Atromitos record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Volos NFC record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atromitos vs Volos NFC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Atromitos wins 3Draws 2Volos NFC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-29Volos NFCAtromitosGreece Cup1-3
2026-01-19Volos NFCAtromitosSuper League 10-3
2025-11-09AtromitosVolos NFCSuper League 10-1
2025-09-24Volos NFCAtromitosGreece Cup1-1
2025-01-24Volos NFCAtromitosSuper League 10-1
2024-10-05AtromitosVolos NFCSuper League 11-2
2024-04-13Volos NFCAtromitosSuper League 12-2
2024-01-07Volos NFCAtromitosSuper League 11-2
2023-09-18AtromitosVolos NFCSuper League 11-1
2023-07-17Volos NFCAtromitosFriendlies Clubs0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atromitos vs Volos NFC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 26.4%, away 23.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.84 3.55 4.08
Bet365 1.85 3.50 4.20
Betano 1.87 3.65 4.15
Betfair 1.87 3.50 3.90
Dafabet 1.90 3.60 4.10
Marathonbet 1.82 3.55 4.10
Pinnacle 1.88 3.65 3.97
SBO 1.85 3.08 3.52
William Hill 1.85 3.40 3.90
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▼ -0.10
X 3.55 ▲ +0.15
2 4.08 ▲ +0.38

13 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Atromitos Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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