Super League 1 Β· Β·Matchday 10

OFI vs Atromitos

Garuda Lions Prediction: OFI

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” OFI is the favourite, not a value bet.

Theodoros Vardinogiannis Stadium, Heraklion

OFI 44%
Draw 28%
Atromitos 28%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance OFI wins
44%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
55%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
9% of simulated outcomes

OFI vs Atromitos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: OFI vs Atromitos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOFIDrawAtromitos
Model40.4%28.5%31.2%
Market44.9%27.6%27.6%
Final43.7%27.8%28.5%
Edge-1.1%+0.2%+0.9%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why OFI

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.7% per unit staked (our 43.7% Γ— 2.11 βˆ’ 1).

OFI vs Atromitos match preview

In the upcoming Super League 1 match, OFI hosts Atromitos with a probability model indicating OFI at 44% to win, while both a draw and an Atromitos victory sit at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of OFI, with an expected goals tally of 1.42 for OFI and 1.22 for Atromitos.

Recent form shows OFI with two wins followed by three mixed results, while Atromitos has struggled, recording two wins followed by four losses. In their last two encounters, both teams have secured one victory each, suggesting a competitive matchup. The model indicates a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

OFI ↓ / Atromitos β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

OFI and Atromitos expected goals

OFI 1.42
Atromitos 1.22

Total expected goals: 2.64

OFI and Atromitos attack and defence ratings

OFI

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Atromitos

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Super League 1

Before and after this match

OFI vs Atromitos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 OFI 43.7% 2.29 -1.1% 2.11
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.8% 1.97 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 54.7% 1.83 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.2% 1.38 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 59.6% 1.68 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2OFI43.7%
Draw27.8%
Atromitos28.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.2%
Under 2.550.8%
Both teams to scoreYes54.7%
No45.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.5%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)56.3%
Handicap -1OFI win19.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss59.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-08.9%
2-18.8%

OFI vs Atromitos stats

OFI and Atromitos recent form

newest first
OFI WWLWLL
Atromitos WWLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

OFI and Atromitos season so far

league record

OFI record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atromitos record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

OFI vs Atromitos head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1OFI wins 0Draws 1Atromitos wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-31AtromitosOFISuper League 11-2
2025-10-25OFIAtromitosSuper League 11-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

OFI vs Atromitos odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.9%, draw 27.6%, away 27.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.11 3.34 3.36
Bet365 2.05 3.40 3.50
BetVictor 2.00 3.30 3.40
Betano 2.10 3.45 3.55
Betfair 2.10 3.40 3.40
Dafabet 2.08 3.45 3.60
Marathonbet 2.09 3.34 3.36
Pinnacle 2.05 3.44 3.63
William Hill 2.10 3.10 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.09 β–Ό -0.16
X 3.40 β–² +0.15
2 3.40 β–² +0.30

28 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 OFI Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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