Panetolikos
vs
OFI
Garuda Lions Prediction: OFI
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.19.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Panetolikos vs OFI overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panetolikos vs OFI
| Probability | Panetolikos | Draw | OFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.5% | 24.9% | 51.6% |
| Market | 30.9% | 31.4% | 37.7% |
| Final | 29.0% | 29.8% | 41.2% |
| Edge | -1.9% | -1.6% | +3.5% |
Why OFI
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.19.
- The market prices OFI below our published probability: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.68, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +10.3% per unit staked (our 41.2% × 2.68 − 1).
Panetolikos vs OFI match preview
In the upcoming Super League 1 match between Panetolikos and OFI, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with OFI holding a 41% chance of victory compared to Panetolikos at 31% and a 28% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, occurring with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance that both teams will score.
Recent form shows Panetolikos struggling with five consecutive losses followed by a win, while OFI has faced four losses and one draw before securing a win. The expected goals for Panetolikos stand at 1.22, while OFI is projected at 1.82. In their last two head-to-head meetings, both teams have secured one win each.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panetolikos and OFI expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Panetolikos and OFI attack and defence ratings
Panetolikos
OFI
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panetolikos vs OFI markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OFI | 41.2% | 2.43 | +3.5% | 2.68 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panetolikos | 29.0% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| OFI | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% |
| No | 40.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | OFI win | 29.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 48.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 8.2% |
Panetolikos vs OFI stats
Panetolikos and OFI recent form
| Panetolikos |
LLLLLW |
| OFI |
WLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panetolikos and OFI season so far
Panetolikos record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
OFI record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Panetolikos vs OFI head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | OFI | Panetolikos | Super League 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Panetolikos | OFI | Super League 1 | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Panetolikos vs OFI odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.9%, draw 31.4%, away 37.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.10 | 2.89 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.00 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 3.08 | 2.89 | 2.48 |
| Pinnacle | 3.15 | 2.74 | 2.68 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .