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Greece Cup · Full time ·Greek Cup - 4

Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia

0 – 2 Full time

26′K. Apostolakis
41′J. Mboula
46′E. GonzalezG. Bouzoukis
46′K. ApostolakisG. Kyriopoulos
48′K. Polykratis
51′D. Theodoridis
53′K. PolykratisL. Abanda
54′L. Abanda
61′J. ChiccoD. Kourbelis
61′B. KimpiokaA. Papakanellos
61′F. OrozcoK. Ketu
64′J. MboulaG. Sousa
64′D. TheodoridisA. Christopoulos
70′H. SousaR. van Eijma
70′D. LaskarisF. Macheda

Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli

Asteras Tripolis 39%
Draw 29%
Kifisia 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAsteras TripolisDrawKifisia
Model33.8%28.0%38.2%
Market40.4%29.3%30.3%
Final38.7%29.0%32.3%
Edge-1.7%-0.3%+2.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Asteras Tripol ↓ / Kifisia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Asteras Tripolis and Kifisia expected goals

Asteras Tripolis 1.32
Kifisia 1.43

Total expected goals: 2.75

Asteras Tripolis and Kifisia attack and defence ratings

Asteras Tripolis

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Kifisia

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia: result vs prediction

Asteras Tripolis 0 – 2 Kifisia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Greek Cup - 4 fixtures

Greece Cup

Before and after this match

Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Asteras Tripolis 38.7% 2.58 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.8% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.0% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.5% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Asteras Tripolis38.7%
Draw29.0%
Kifisia32.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.6%
Under 2.548.4%
Both teams to scoreYes56.8%
No43.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.7%
12 (either side)71.0%
X2 (draw or away)61.3%
Handicap -1Asteras Tripolis win15.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.1%
Loss66.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-28.6%
2-18.0%

Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia stats

Asteras Tripolis and Kifisia recent form

newest first
Asteras Tripolis DLWDWD
Kifisia WLWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Asteras Tripolis wins 6Draws 1Kifisia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16Asteras TripolisKifisiaSuper League 10-0
2026-04-18KifisiaAsteras TripolisSuper League 10-0
2025-12-13KifisiaAsteras TripolisSuper League 10-0
2025-10-19Asteras TripolisKifisiaSuper League 12-2
2025-09-17KifisiaAsteras TripolisGreece Cup1-1
2024-04-06Asteras TripolisKifisiaSuper League 11-2
2024-02-28Asteras TripolisKifisiaSuper League 13-3
2023-11-26KifisiaAsteras TripolisSuper League 11-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Asteras Tripolis vs Kifisia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 29.3%, away 30.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.25 2.99 3.03
Bet365 2.30 3.25 3.00
BetVictor 2.30 3.20 3.00
Betano 2.35 3.15 3.25
Betfair 2.20 3.10 3.00
Dafabet 2.39 3.30 3.05
Marathonbet 2.23 2.99 2.95
SBO 2.23 2.96 2.75
William Hill 2.25 3.00 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▲ +0.01
X 3.10 ▲ +0.06
2 3.00 ▲ +0.01

13 snapshots recorded, from .